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BOOT or BURL or ROST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) vs. Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BOOT, BURL, and ROST operate in the apparel and off-price retail sector, with ROST and BURL sharing similar off-price models while BOOT focuses on western and workwear.
- Recent market activity shows ROST delivering the strongest earnings beat and stock reaction among the three, with comparable-store sales growth of 17% in its latest quarter.
- BOOT reported record fiscal 2026 results driven by store expansion and same-store sales gains, though its share price remains below 52-week highs.
- BURL maintains steady performance in the off-price segment ahead of its upcoming quarterly report, with year-to-date returns competitive within the group.
- Valuation sensitivity varies, with ROST exhibiting larger market capitalization and recent momentum compared to the smaller BOOT.
- Sector exposure to consumer discretionary spending and inventory management trends influences relative performance across all three stocks in recent weeks.
Introduction
Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT), Burlington Stores (BURL), and Ross Stores (ROST) represent distinct yet overlapping plays within the retail apparel space. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure to consumer discretionary stocks. The analysis focuses on observable factors such as earnings outcomes, same-store sales metrics, and relative share price behavior over recent market activity, providing context for those monitoring retail sector dynamics without favoring any single name.
BOOT Overview and Recent Performance
Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) operates specialty retail stores offering western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories. In recent market activity, the company delivered record fiscal 2026 results, with fourth-quarter net sales rising 18.7% year-over-year to $538.8 million and same-store sales increasing 6.1%. Full-year net sales grew 17.9% to $2.254 billion, supported by 80 new store openings and merchandise margin expansion. The stock closed near $154.65 on May 22, 2026, remaining below its 52-week high of approximately $210 amid broader sector volatility, though earnings beats contributed to positive sentiment in the period.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores (BURL) runs off-price retail outlets featuring branded apparel, footwear, and home goods at discounted prices. Recent market activity reflects steady positioning ahead of its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release scheduled for late May. The stock closed at $324.51 on May 22, 2026, showing intraday gains amid sector rotation. Year-to-date returns have been positive, with the company maintaining operational leverage in its inventory model. Performance has tracked broader off-price retail trends without standout single-quarter catalysts in the immediate prior weeks.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores (ROST) manages off-price chains including Ross Dress for Less, emphasizing value apparel and home merchandise. In recent market activity, the company posted robust first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenue reaching $6.0 billion (up 21% year-over-year), comparable-store sales advancing 17%, and earnings per share of $2.02 exceeding consensus estimates. The stock rose 8.11% to close at $234.81 on May 22, 2026, following the report and outlook raise. Year-to-date gains have outpaced peers in the group, reflecting strong traffic and margin execution in the period.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates a selection of AI trading bots from hundreds available across thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions receive placement in this section. Available bots encompass varied trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and ticker sets, enabling users to review statistical ranges such as win rates, drawdowns, and trade frequency. This informational resource supports exploration of automated approaches tailored to individual risk parameters and market views.
Head-to-Head Comparison
BOOT differentiates through niche western and workwear specialization and aggressive store expansion, contrasting with the scale-driven off-price models of BURL and ROST. Growth drivers for ROST center on high comparable-store sales velocity and traffic gains, while BURL emphasizes consistent inventory turns. Recent momentum favored ROST following its earnings release, whereas BOOT showed resilience post its fiscal year results. Risk factors include consumer spending sensitivity for all three, with BOOT carrying higher valuation sensitivity due to its smaller market capitalization of approximately $4.7 billion versus larger peers. Sector exposure to apparel retail remains common, though ROST exhibits greater stability in recent relative performance metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including earnings consistency, recent comparable-store sales strength, and relative share price reaction in the latest reporting period, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probabilistic favorability to ROST among the three. This positioning reflects stronger recent catalysts and momentum alignment, though outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and subsequent data releases.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BOOT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileBURL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and ROST’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- BOOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- BURL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BOOT’s TA Score shows that 8 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BURL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and ROST’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BOOT’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
- BURL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BOOT (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +6.79% price change this week, while BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -0.47% , and ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price fluctuated -2.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.19%.
Reported Earning Dates
BOOT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
BURL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.22% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| BOOT | BURL | ROST | |
| Capitalization | 5.27B | 20.9B | 73.5B |
| EBITDA | 381M | 1.33B | 3.6B |
| Gain YTD | -1.649 | 17.802 | 32.086 |
| P/E Ratio | 24.28 | 35.01 | 33.10 |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 11.9B | 23.8B |
| Total Cash | 141M | 747M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 773M | 5.87B | 5.21B |
BOOT | BURL | ROST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 73 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 93 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 24 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | 14 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 30 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BOOT's Valuation (60) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (82) and is somewhat better than the same rating for ROST (94). This means that BOOT's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and somewhat faster than ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BOOT (42) and is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (93). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to BOOT’s and significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's SMR Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (24) and is in the same range as BOOT (48). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and similarly to BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (14) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (42) and is in the same range as BOOT (46). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and similarly to BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (30) and is somewhat better than the same rating for BOOT (60). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and somewhat faster than BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
| BOOT | BURL | ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 2 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 73% | 8 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | +0.99% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
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ROST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROST has been loosely correlated with TJX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROST jumps, then TJX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 100% | +1.79% | ||
| TJX - ROST | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| BURL - ROST | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| CAL - ROST | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| BOOT - ROST | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| GCO - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.34% | ||
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