Moody's Corporation, MSCI Inc., and S&P Global Inc. are three of the most recognizable names in financial data, analytics, and ratings, and they are frequently grouped together as quality-growth compounders within the financial-information sector. This stock comparison is relevant for long-term investors seeking durable, subscription-heavy cash flows as well as for active traders monitoring relative performance and momentum across the trio. Although the companies share overlapping client bases and a common sensitivity to debt issuance, market volatility, and interest-rate expectations, their underlying business mixes differ enough to produce distinct risk-and-reward profiles. Understanding those contrasts is central to assessing which name may currently offer the more favorable market positioning.
Moody's Corporation operates through two segments: Moody's Investors Service, its credit-ratings franchise, and Moody's Analytics, which sells research, data, and risk-management software. The ratings business is cyclical and benefits when debt issuance, refinancing, and merger-and-acquisition (M&A) activity accelerate, while Analytics provides steadier, recurring subscription revenue.
Recent market activity has highlighted both sides of this model. Moody's reported strong year-over-year revenue and EPS growth in its most recent quarters, with corporate-finance and structured-finance ratings activity a key driver. Management has also emphasized artificial-intelligence (AI) applications across its analytics products, positioning the company as a beneficiary of enterprise AI adoption. Despite solid fundamentals, the stock has traded lower in recent weeks alongside a broader pullback in premium-multiple financial-information names, reflecting investors' sensitivity to valuation after a prolonged period of outperformance.
MSCI Inc. is best known for the indexes that underpin a large share of global ETFs and passive portfolios, but its business also spans risk analytics, ESG and climate data (environmental, social, and governance), and private-assets solutions following its Burgiss acquisition. The company's revenue is split between recurring subscriptions and asset-based fees tied to the assets under management (AUM) linked to its indexes.
In recent quarters, MSCI has posted double-digit revenue growth and its eleventh consecutive year of double-digit adjusted EPS growth, supported by record inflows into ETFs linked to its equity indexes and a best-ever quarter for recurring index sales. A rising retention rate and a 13.9% dividend increase underscored management's confidence. At the same time, the asset-based-fee component makes MSCI more exposed to equity-market direction, and its elevated leverage and premium forward P/E (price-to-earnings) multiple have kept sentiment mixed during recent market volatility.
S&P Global Inc. is the most diversified of the three, spanning Market Intelligence (data and software), credit Ratings, Commodity Insights (energy), Mobility, and Indices. This breadth provides balance, with subscription revenue offsetting more transaction-driven ratings and energy-linked income. The company has also announced a planned spin-off of its Mobility segment into a separate entity, a structural change intended to sharpen focus across the remaining portfolio.
S&P Global grew full-year revenue and EPS solidly in its latest results and extended a remarkable 53-year streak of consecutive dividend increases, while returning billions to shareholders through buybacks. However, the stock has experienced the steepest recent decline of the trio, pressured by 2026 guidance that came in below some market expectations, softer bank-loan volumes, and uncertainty around the Mobility separation. The pullback has left the shares trading well below consensus analyst targets, even as the fundamental business continues to generate strong cash flow.
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The clearest distinction among the three is revenue composition. MSCI is the purest play on index-linked, asset-based fees, giving it the most direct leverage to rising equity markets but also the greatest sensitivity to market downturns. Moody's sits in the middle, blending a cyclical ratings engine with a fast-growing, subscription-oriented analytics business. S&P Global offers the broadest diversification, but its sheer size and multi-segment structure can dilute the impact of any single growth driver.
On growth, Moody's has shown the most pronounced acceleration recently, driven by rebounding debt issuance, while MSCI has demonstrated remarkable consistency in recurring sales and adjusted EPS growth. S&P Global has grown steadily but faces near-term headwinds in loan volumes and an upcoming spinoff that introduces execution risk. In terms of valuation sensitivity, all three command premium multiples, but MSCI's higher leverage and MCO's and SPGI's recent share-price declines suggest investors are now demanding more evidence of continued growth to justify those multiples. Risk factors also differ: Moody's and S&P Global are more tied to credit-market conditions, while MSCI is more tied to equity flows and fee compression debates.
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, business-mix stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would most likely favor MCO at present. The company combines cyclical ratings tailwinds with a growing, subscription-heavy analytics franchise, giving it a more balanced catalyst profile than MSCI's equity-flow sensitivity or S&P Global's near-term spinoff and guidance uncertainty. Moody's recent earnings momentum and margin expansion also suggest stronger trend consistency than its two peers, whose shares have faced more pronounced near-term selling pressure. That said, this assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive; a shift in issuance conditions, equity-market direction, or interest-rate expectations could quickly alter the relative outlook. Traders should weigh these factors alongside their own research and risk tolerance.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MCO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 42 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MCO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCO as a result. In 58 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCO just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where MCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +3.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCO advanced for three days, in 215 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
MCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MCO entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MCO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MCO's P/B Ratio (27.677) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.090). P/E Ratio (30.579) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.609) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.132) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
The 10-day moving average for MSCI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSCI as a result. In 53 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSCI just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where MSCI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
MSCI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSCI advanced for three days, in 175 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for MSCI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
MSCI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MSCI entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSCI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MSCI's P/B Ratio (-16.641) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (4.090). P/E Ratio (33.604) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.845) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. MSCI's P/S Ratio (12.048) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.166).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPGI turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPGI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPGI as a result. In 45 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
SPGI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPGI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The 50-day moving average for SPGI moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +3.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPGI advanced for three days, in 191 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
SPGI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPGI entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SPGI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.214) is normal, around the industry mean (4.071). P/E Ratio (27.391) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.893) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.570) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
MCO | MSCI | SPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 22 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 95 | 80 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 7 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 25 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 49 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SPGI's Valuation (92) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MSCI (93) and is in the same range as MCO (98). This means that SPGI's stock grew similarly to MSCI’s and similarly to MCO’s over the last 12 months.
MCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as SPGI (80) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MSCI (95). This means that MCO's stock grew similarly to SPGI’s and somewhat faster than MSCI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's SMR Rating (7) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (16) and is somewhat better than the same rating for SPGI (56). This means that MSCI's stock grew similarly to MCO’s and somewhat faster than SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's Price Growth Rating (25) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (38) and is in the same range as SPGI (44). This means that MSCI's stock grew similarly to MCO’s and similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
MSCI's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Financial Publishing Or Services industry is in the same range as MCO (65) and is in the same range as SPGI (73). This means that MSCI's stock grew similarly to MCO’s and similarly to SPGI’s over the last 12 months.
| MCO | MSCI | SPGI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 53% | 6 days ago 58% | 11 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 55% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MSCI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SPGI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MSCI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SPGI’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
MCO (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -0.33% price change this week, while MSCI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +8.18% , and SPGI (@Financial Publishing/Services) price fluctuated +4.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was +4.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.83%.
MCO is expected to report earnings on Feb 05, 2027.
MSCI is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
SPGI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCO has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCO jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCO | 100% | -1.55% | ||
| SPGI - MCO | 88% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| MSCI - MCO | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| JEF - MCO | 66% Closely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| SF - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| GS - MCO | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSCI has been closely correlated with SPGI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSCI jumps, then SPGI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI | 100% | -0.74% | ||
| SPGI - MSCI | 70% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| MCO - MSCI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.55% | ||
| MORN - MSCI | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| NDAQ - MSCI | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.72% | ||
| JEF - MSCI | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
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