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MTSI or ONTO or RMBS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. Onto Innovation (ONTO) vs. Rambus (RMBS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has delivered the strongest year-to-date performance at approximately 66%, outperforming peers amid AI-driven demand for analog semiconductors.
- ONTO shows robust 86% YTD gains, fueled by metrology tools essential for advanced semiconductor packaging in AI applications.
- RMBS trails YTD at 22% but boasts a compelling P/E ratio of 53, reflecting memory interface exposure with recent volatility post-earnings.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor space, benefiting from AI infrastructure growth, with 52-week gains exceeding 120% each.
- Market caps range from $12B to $21B, with high P/E ratios (53-128) signaling growth premiums amid sector momentum.
- Recent sentiment shifts highlight AI catalysts, though RMBS faces revenue concerns while MTSI and ONTO maintain upward trends.
Introduction
MTSI, ONTO, and RMBS are semiconductor-focused companies capitalizing on the AI boom, spanning analog solutions, process control, and memory interfaces. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and growth drivers in a sector buoyed by data center expansion and advanced chip demand. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term AI exposure will find value in understanding their relative strengths, valuations, and risks amid volatile market conditions.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.) designs analog semiconductors for wireless and wireline applications, serving telecom, data centers, and defense sectors. In recent market activity, shares have surged, trading near $284 with a $21.3B market cap and 52-week range of $109-$294. Year-to-date gains exceed 66%, outpacing the S&P 500, driven by highlights in next-gen AI optical chips and strong revenue growth (ttm $1.02B). Sentiment has improved on raised price targets and robust free cash flow, though elevated P/E (128) reflects growth expectations. Broader AI infrastructure demand has bolstered performance, with minimal debt (42% debt/equity).
ONTO Overview and Recent Performance
ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) provides metrology and inspection systems for semiconductor manufacturing, critical for yield optimization in advanced packaging. Shares hover around $293, with a $14.6B market cap and 52-week range of $86-$316. YTD returns top 86%, supported by AI packaging demand and Dragonfly system adoption. Recent weeks show sustained momentum, with ttm revenue at $1.01B and strong cash position ($640M). High P/E (105) underscores premium valuation, but low debt (1% debt/equity) and 14% profit margins enhance stability amid sector tailwinds.
RMBS Overview and Recent Performance
RMBS (Rambus Inc.) specializes in memory interface chips and silicon IP for AI, data centers, and security. Trading at about $112 with a $12.1B market cap, the 52-week range spans $49-$162. YTD up 22% with 129% one-year gains, but recent volatility followed earnings that beat EPS yet missed revenue, prompting a sell-off. New CFO appointment signals leadership refresh. Ttm revenue $721M and 32% margins stand out, with P/E at 53 offering relative value, though higher beta (1.79) amplifies risks in memory cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI emphasizes RF/analog for telecom-AI crossovers, contrasting ONTO’s metrology focus on fab yields and RMBS’s memory IP for data centers. Growth drivers diverge: MTSI and ONTO ride AI optical/packaging waves, while RMBS targets DDR5 memory amid supply constraints. Recent momentum favors MTSI/ONTO (65-86% YTD vs. RMBS 22%), but RMBS offers lower P/E (53 vs. 105-128) and higher margins (32%). Risks include cyclical semis exposure; MTSI’s beta (1.48) is lowest, RMBS highest (1.79). Valuation sensitivity is acute across all, with sector sentiment tied to AI capex—trade-offs pit MTSI’s stability against RMBS’s value and ONTO’s packaging edge.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward MTSI in the current environment, citing superior trend consistency, 66% YTD stability, and AI optical catalysts amid peer volatility. ONTO ranks closely with packaging momentum, while RMBS lags on recent revenue misses despite IP strengths. Probabilistic edge favors MTSI’s relative positioning for near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileONTO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and RMBS’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ONTO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RMBS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONTO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and RMBS’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ONTO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RMBS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -0.31% price change this week, while ONTO (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +3.14% , and RMBS (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -12.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -10.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.45%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -10.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +122.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
ONTO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
RMBS is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-10.61% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (-10.12% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| MTSI | ONTO | RMBS | |
| Capitalization | 28.2B | 16.1B | 12.4B |
| EBITDA | 276M | 199M | 328M |
| Gain YTD | 127.808 | 118.067 | 34.607 |
| P/E Ratio | 168.62 | 161.80 | 66.83 |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 1.03B | 721M |
| Total Cash | 665M | 654M | 786M |
| Total Debt | 377M | 17.5M | 23.4M |
MTSI | ONTO | RMBS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 37 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 27 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 85 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 35 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 2 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 39 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RMBS's Valuation (72) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ONTO (78) in the null industry, and is in the same range as MTSI (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that RMBS's stock grew similarly to ONTO’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as RMBS (20) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as ONTO (27) in the null industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to RMBS’s and similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
RMBS's SMR Rating (49) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (62) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ONTO (85) in the null industry. This means that RMBS's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's Price Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as RMBS (41) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ONTO's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to RMBS’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as RMBS (9) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MTSI (17) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ONTO's stock grew similarly to RMBS’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | ONTO | RMBS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% | 15 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 22 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 82% |
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ONTO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONTO has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ONTO jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONTO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 100% | +6.83% | ||
| AMAT - ONTO | 77% Closely correlated | +13.42% | ||
| KLAC - ONTO | 74% Closely correlated | +7.62% | ||
| NVMI - ONTO | 73% Closely correlated | +2.34% | ||
| LRCX - ONTO | 73% Closely correlated | +7.21% | ||
| UCTT - ONTO | 72% Closely correlated | +11.29% | ||
More | ||||
RMBS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RMBS has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RMBS jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RMBS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMBS | 100% | -0.67% | ||
| LRCX - RMBS | 77% Closely correlated | +7.21% | ||
| AMKR - RMBS | 77% Closely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| KLIC - RMBS | 76% Closely correlated | +6.72% | ||
| VECO - RMBS | 75% Closely correlated | +6.14% | ||
| KLAC - RMBS | 74% Closely correlated | +7.62% | ||
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