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MTSI or SMTC or TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Semtech (SMTC) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI is positioned for data center and AI infrastructure demand, with its third-quarter 2026 earnings report scheduled for August 6 amid recent price volatility.
- SMTC has delivered strong year-to-date gains exceeding 50 percent, supported by analyst upgrades and growth in optical and data center segments.
- TSEM announced a major $3 billion manufacturing expansion in Japan targeting AI chip capacity, triggering notable stock gains in recent weeks.
- All three companies operate in the semiconductor sector with varying exposure to AI-related growth drivers and upcoming earnings releases in early August 2026.
- Relative performance reflects differences in recent catalysts, with TSEM showing momentum from expansion news while MTSI and SMTC navigate pre-earnings periods.
- Market sentiment across the group remains tied to broader semiconductor trends and AI infrastructure spending patterns.
Introduction
This comparison examines three semiconductor stocks—MTSI, SMTC, and TSEM—that share exposure to high-growth areas such as data centers, optical components, and AI infrastructure. Investors and traders focused on the semiconductor sector may find this analysis relevant for assessing relative positioning, recent momentum, and potential catalysts in the current market environment. The review draws on observable performance metrics and company developments to highlight contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI, or MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., designs and manufactures high-performance analog semiconductor solutions primarily for communications, data center, and industrial applications. In recent weeks, the stock has exhibited volatility, trading in a range influenced by broader market movements in technology equities and pre-earnings positioning ahead of its third-quarter 2026 results, scheduled for release on August 6. Sentiment has been shaped by ongoing investor interest in the company’s alignment with AI infrastructure needs, following earlier positive quarterly results that highlighted revenue growth in key segments. The stock’s 52-week range underscores significant prior appreciation alongside recent pullbacks, reflecting typical sector sensitivity to macroeconomic and industry-specific factors.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
SMTC, or Semtech Corporation, provides analog and mixed-signal semiconductors with a focus on connectivity, protection, and power management solutions, including optical components relevant to data centers. Recent market activity has shown the stock maintaining upward trajectory on a year-to-date basis, supported by multiple analyst price target increases and attention to its indium phosphide (InP) technology and optical growth initiatives. Performance in recent weeks reflects a period of consolidation following earlier gains, with trading volumes and price action influenced by sector rotation and upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings expected around late August. Sentiment remains constructive among observers tracking data center and high-speed connectivity demand.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
TSEM, or Tower Semiconductor Ltd., operates as a specialty foundry offering analog-intensive process technologies for applications including power management, sensors, and silicon photonics. Recent weeks featured heightened attention following the company’s announcement of a $3 billion manufacturing expansion in Japan aimed at increasing capacity for AI-related chips. This development contributed to positive price momentum, with the stock responding to the news amid broader interest in semiconductor capacity investments. The company reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $414 million, representing 15 percent year-over-year growth, and has guided for continued sequential increases. Upcoming second-quarter 2026 results, set for August 4, provide an additional near-term reference point for market participants.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Across business models, MTSI emphasizes high-performance analog components for communications infrastructure, SMTC focuses on connectivity and protection solutions with optical emphasis, and TSEM operates as a foundry specializing in custom analog processes including silicon photonics. Growth drivers differ in emphasis: MTSI and SMTC align closely with data center and AI optical demand, while TSEM benefits from foundry capacity expansions tied to similar end markets. Recent momentum shows TSEM reacting sharply to its Japan expansion announcement, SMTC sustaining longer-term gains with analyst support, and MTSI displaying more contained movement ahead of earnings. Risk factors include sector-wide valuation sensitivity to interest rates and technology spending cycles, with each stock exhibiting different degrees of exposure to these variables. Market sentiment reflects shared semiconductor cyclicality but differentiated by individual catalysts such as capacity investments versus product-specific demand trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent catalyst-driven momentum, trend consistency in capacity expansion announcements, and relative positioning within AI-related semiconductor themes, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to TSEM among the three. This assessment rests on the measurable market response to its Japan facility plans and sequential revenue guidance rather than any guarantee of future outcomes. SMTC and MTSI present competitive profiles through their data center alignments and upcoming earnings visibility, underscoring the probabilistic nature of such evaluations in dynamic markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSMTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TSEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMTC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSEM’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +23.62% price change this week, while SMTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +18.33% , and TSEM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +14.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +48.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on Nov 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.18% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | SMTC | TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 23.7B | 13B | 27.1B |
| EBITDA | 276M | 32M | 588M |
| Gain YTD | 81.469 | 89.198 | 115.032 |
| P/E Ratio | 98.99 | 130.81 | 99.79 |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 1.09B | 1.62B |
| Total Cash | 665M | 163M | 1.5B |
| Total Debt | 377M | 492M | 156M |
MTSI | SMTC | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 51 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 94 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 36 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 22 | 5 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (84) and is in the same range as TSEM (84). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (37) and is in the same range as SMTC (51). This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (61) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (76) and is somewhat better than the same rating for SMTC (94). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to TSEM’s and somewhat faster than SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (36) and is in the same range as MTSI (40). This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (22) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (60). This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | SMTC | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 74% | 12 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 56% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +3.04% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 74% Closely correlated | +5.50% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +2.53% | ||
| SMTC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.44% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.28% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been closely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | +3.44% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 69% Closely correlated | +3.04% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.12% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | +6.81% | ||
| SITM - SMTC | 61% Loosely correlated | +5.50% | ||
| CEVA - SMTC | 60% Loosely correlated | +8.65% | ||
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TSEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSEM has been closely correlated with SMTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSEM jumps, then SMTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSEM | 100% | +12.37% | ||
| SMTC - TSEM | 66% Closely correlated | +3.44% | ||
| MTSI - TSEM | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.04% | ||
| AMKR - TSEM | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| AMBA - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +3.57% | ||
| KLIC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
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