American Express (AXP, $171.72): A Bearish Trend Ahead Despite Bullish Signals
American Express Company (AXP, $171.72), a stalwart in the financial services industry, has entered a potentially challenging phase. A.I.dvisor's recent predictions suggest a 4% decline in the company's stock over the next month, possibly taking the share price to $164.85 or lower. This is in line with the trends observed in similar scenarios in the past, where a likelihood of a downtrend continuation stands at 77%.
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The current bearish trend for American Express comes as a surprise, considering the recent bullish signals. On June 05, 2023, the 10-day moving average for AXP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average, indicating a shift towards a higher trend and often seen as a buy signal. In 12 out of 15 previous instances where the 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average, the stock continued to climb higher over the following month. This represents an 80% chance of a continued upward trend.
These conflicting signals—an expected bearish turn versus a recently bullish crossover—exemplify the volatile and unpredictable nature of the stock market. Investors must grapple with the dynamic interplay of various market factors and indicators that can lead to contrasting predictions.
As American Express enters this potentially bearish phase, investors should exercise caution. While the crossing of moving averages is often a bullish indicator, the current predictions suggest that a downturn could be on the horizon. This demonstrates the need for investors to consider a wide range of indicators and to remember that past performance may not necessarily predict future results.
In the rapidly changing landscape of financial markets, having access to timely and comprehensive information is critical. As we continue to monitor American Express and the wider financial sector, we aim to provide you with the most accurate insights to guide your investment decisions. Stay tuned for future updates as we navigate the ebb and flow of market trends.
AXP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025
AXP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 29 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AXP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AXP as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AXP just turned positive on October 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where AXP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXP advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 278 cases where AXP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AXP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AXP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.424) is normal, around the industry mean (13.128). P/E Ratio (23.471) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.879). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.038) is also within normal values, averaging (1.385). AXP has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.039). P/S Ratio (3.471) is also within normal values, averaging (130.540).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a financial conglomerate
Industry SavingsBanks
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