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published in Blogs
Feb 01, 2019

Can Netflix (NFLX, $339.50) subscriptions keep climbing?

Netflix’s fourth quarter results once again confirm that the company is here to win and stay. With global paying customers increasing by 26% y-o-y to more than 139 million -- coupled with a forecast-beating addition of 8.84 million subscribers during the quarter -- there is little room for doubt that the streaming giant is an ongoing success.

Reasons for this booming number of subscribers?

Netflix is known for the abundance and quality of content, and since its inception, the company has worked hard to analyze and interpret viewers’ demand patterns. From how much to spend on licensed programming to deciphering investment-worthy genres and original shows’ appeal , Netflix has mined a massive amount of data giving it its competitive edge.

Independent analyses show that compared to Amazon Prime, Hulu, or AT&T, Netflix’s is the most popular streaming site. To reach this spot, the company used data from review aggregation sites like the Rotten Tomatoes to understand people’s choices, and now Netflix boasts of 596 ‘certified fresh’ movies that give its content a richness unmatched by other streaming sites.

 

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 7 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 305 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of overbought territory on February 18, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 21, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on February 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.920) is normal, around the industry mean (5.707). P/E Ratio (51.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.889) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (30.155).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 10.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. JVTSF experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while OAMCF experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)
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a provider of online movie rental subscription services

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