Can Netflix (NFLX, $339.50) subscriptions keep climbing?
Netflix’s fourth quarter results once again confirm that the company is here to win and stay. With global paying customers increasing by 26% y-o-y to more than 139 million -- coupled with a forecast-beating addition of 8.84 million subscribers during the quarter -- there is little room for doubt that the streaming giant is an ongoing success.
Reasons for this booming number of subscribers?
Netflix is known for the abundance and quality of content, and since its inception, the company has worked hard to analyze and interpret viewers’ demand patterns. From how much to spend on licensed programming to deciphering investment-worthy genres and original shows’ appeal , Netflix has mined a massive amount of data giving it its competitive edge.
Independent analyses show that compared to Amazon Prime, Hulu, or AT&T, Netflix’s is the most popular streaming site. To reach this spot, the company used data from review aggregation sites like the Rotten Tomatoes to understand people’s choices, and now Netflix boasts of 596 ‘certified fresh’ movies that give its content a richness unmatched by other streaming sites.
NFLX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on March 06, 2025
NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where NFLX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 31, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on April 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NFLX moved below its 50-day moving average on March 28, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NFLX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on March 19, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.920) is normal, around the industry mean (5.707). P/E Ratio (51.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.889) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (30.155).
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a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment