Coherent (COHR, $202.02) to be acquired by Lumentum in $5.7 billion deal
Shares of laser maker Coherent jumped on Tuesday, after Lumentum Holdings agreed to acquire the company in a deal valued at $5.7 billion.
In a cash-and-stock deal, Coherent shareholders would receive $100 per share in cash and 1.1851 shares of Lumentum common stock for each Coherent share they own, according to the the companies’ statement. The transaction deal implies a 49% premium to Coherent's closing price on Friday. Coherent shareholders will own 27% of the combined entity, upon the deal’s closing.
The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2021.
The deal "unites Coherent's leading photonics and lasers businesses, including in the Microelectronics, Precision Manufacturing, Instrumentation, and Aerospace & Defense markets, with Lumentum's leading Telecom, Datacom, and 3D Sensing photonics businesses, creating a diversified photonics technology company with significantly increased scale and market reach," the companies said in a joint statement.
The deal is expected to boost earnings in the first year after closing and to create more than $150 million in annual run-rate synergies.
Aroon Indicator for COHR shows an upward move is likely
COHR's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 19, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 267 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 267 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COHR advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COHR moved out of overbought territory on November 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COHR as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COHR turned negative on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COHR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
COHR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COHR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.151) is normal, around the industry mean (11.244). P/E Ratio (216.901) is within average values for comparable stocks, (76.527). COHR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.009). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.179) is also within normal values, averaging (23.142).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a maker of laser diodes and other laser equipment
Industry ElectronicEquipmentInstruments
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