Comparative Analysis of DDOG and MDB in the Packaged Software Industry
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In the world of finance, analyzing stock prices and market trends is essential for making informed investment decisions. Today, we'll take a closer look at two notable companies in the Packaged Software industry, Datadog (DDOG) and MongoDB (MDB), and evaluate their long-term and short-term prospects.
When comparing stock prices, DDOG is currently trading at $93.16, while MDB is priced at $283.36. Both companies enjoy brand notoriety and operate within the Packaged Software industry.
Examining the volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average, DDOG has a volume of 75% compared to its average, while MDB boasts a volume of 125% relative to its average. This indicates higher trading activity for MDB compared to DDOG.
In terms of market capitalization, DDOG holds a value of $29.99 billion, while MDB has a market capitalization of $19.99 billion. Looking at the broader Packaged Software industry, the market cap ranges from $2.48 trillion to $0, with an average of $7.7 billion.
Moving on to long-term analysis, it is advisable to consider fundamental analysis (FA) ratings to assess a ticker's value. FA ratings range from 1 to 100, with 1 being the best and 100 being the worst. These ratings are divided into thirds: green (1-33) for undervalued, grey (34-66) for fair value, and red (67-100) for overvalued.
DDOG's FA Score shows 0 green FA ratings and 5 red FA ratings, indicating it is considered overvalued. Similarly, MDB's FA Score also exhibits 0 green FA ratings and 5 red FA ratings. According to this analysis, both DDOG and MDB are not favorable long-term investments.
For short-term analysis, technical analysis (TA) indicators are crucial. Using the Odds of Success, which measures the likelihood of a trend continuation, we can assess the short-term outlook. A green percentage (90%-51%) suggests a bullish trend, a red rate (90%-51%) indicates a bearish trend, and grey percentages confirm neither trend.
DDOG's TA Score reveals 6 bullish TA indicators and 4 bearish ones, while MDB's TA Score displays 6 bullish TA indicators and 4 bearish ones. Based on this comparison, DDOG appears to be a more promising short-term investment option than MDB.
Considering price growth, DDOG experienced a 1.16% increase in price this week, while MDB saw a 2.97% increase during the same period. Comparatively, the average weekly price growth in the Packaged Software industry was 0.16%. Additionally, the average monthly price growth in the industry was 7.72%, and the average quarterly growth was 25.09%.
Lastly, let's take a look at the reported earning dates. DDOG is expected to report earnings on August 3, 2023, while MDB's earnings report is anticipated on August 31, 2023.
MDB's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 3 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MDB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDB advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MDB as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MDB turned negative on October 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MDB moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MDB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MDB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MDB entered a downward trend on October 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MDB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MDB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (24.272) is normal, around the industry mean (30.698). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.654) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.083) is also within normal values, averaging (55.771).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a developer of MongoDB database
Industry PackagedSoftware