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Mar 01, 2022
Etsy (ETSY, $154.89) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Etsy (ETSY, $154.89) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Etsy’s fourth quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The e-commerce company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.11 a share, well above analysts’ expectations of 79 cents.

Revenue increased +16% from the year-ago quarter to $717.1 million, vs. analysts’ estimate of $684.5 million.

Gross merchandise sales per active seller rose +16% to reach an all-time high of $136. More than half of Etsy's 2020 active buyers, and 37% of 2020 new buyers returned to make a purchase in 2021.

Consolidated gross merchandise sales climbed +16.5% to a record $4.2 billion.

Active sellers on Etsy surged +72% to 7.5 million, while active buyers count increased +17.6% to reach 96.3 million.

Related Ticker: ETSY

ETSY in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on January 05, 2026

ETSY moved above its 50-day moving average on January 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 42 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for ETSY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ETSY advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 184 cases where ETSY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ETSY moved out of overbought territory on January 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where ETSY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ETSY as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ETSY turned negative on January 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for ETSY moved below the 200-day moving average on January 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ETSY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ETSY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ETSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (92.742). P/E Ratio (40.655) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.902). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.623) is also within normal values, averaging (3.535). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.519) is also within normal values, averaging (13.289).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ETSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (null:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 53.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.56T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.56T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. BHHOF experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while SNHO experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -70%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 156% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ETSY showed earnings on October 29, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an online marketplace for buying and selling of handmade and vintage goods

Industry InternetRetail

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