Fed is turning dovish, according to Bloomberg survey
According to a new Bloomberg survey of economists, the Federal Reserve is likely to end the current rate-hike cycle with one more rate hike this year.
The median of responses in the March 13-15 poll predicted one rate hike in September. In December, the poll had forecasted two 2019 hikes.
The latest survey reveals that economists are expecting the current hiking cycle to top off at 2.75 percent upper-end of the target policy rate range; that figure is lower compared to the survey’s previous forecast of 3.25 percent.
The Fed left rates unchanged this month.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TLH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on August 11, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 219 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 174 of the 219 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TLH as a result. In 61 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TLH turned negative on September 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
TLH moved below its 50-day moving average on August 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in 196 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
TLH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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