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Jun 10, 2020
Five Below (FIVE, $114.71) shares get price target hikes

Five Below (FIVE, $114.71) shares get price target hikes

Five Below  got share price target hikes from  several analysts.

The discount retail company has around 90% of its stores reopened , according to its CEO CEO Joel Anderson.   The company plans to open between 100 and 120 new stores this year.

 Guggenheim boosted its share price target to $120 from $105, while maintaing its buy rating. Analyst John Heinbockel mentioned in a report that Five Below should benefit from pent-up demand and from the government’s fiscal stimulus – factors that could lead to modest sales growth in the second half of the year, according to  Heinbockel.

RBC Capital Markets analysts raised their share-price target to $115 from $102, and maintained their outperform rating. RBC  analysts indicated that despite some uncertainty over how much foot traffic Five Below will regain, pickups should boost sales, as consumers are expected to prefer contactless shopping.

FIVE enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that FIVE's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 64 of 86 cases where FIVE's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

Current price $114.71 crossed the resistance line at $114.59 and is trading between $117.69 support and $114.59 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/07/20 - 06/09/20, the price experienced a +17% Uptrend, while the week of 06/02/20 - 06/09/20 shows a -0.91% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where FIVE's MACD histogram became positive, in 40 of 54 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 226 of 325 similar cases where FIVE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 23 of 47 cases where FIVE's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 49%.

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 45 of 68 cases where FIVE's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.

Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where FIVE declined for three days, in 171 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 65%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 19 of 40 cases where FIVE's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.44 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FIVE's P/B Ratio (7.62) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.27). FIVE has a moderately high P/E Ratio (33.29) as compared to the industry average of (22.43). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.13) is also within normal values, averaging (1.46). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.29) among similar stocks. FIVE's P/S Ratio (3.43) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.27).

Related Ticker: FIVE

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for FIVE turns negative, indicating new downward trend

FIVE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 70 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 50 of the 70 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FIVE moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FIVE turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

FIVE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 50 of 59 cases where FIVE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +5.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in 240 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 272 cases where FIVE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.438) is normal, around the industry mean (4.068). P/E Ratio (21.937) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.701). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (1.345). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (2.558) is also within normal values, averaging (1.069).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 52.32B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 52.32B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ASO experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while FLWS experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -74% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -28 (-100 ... +100)
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FIVE
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General Information

a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Details
Industry
Discount Stores
Address
701 Market Street
Phone
+1 215 546-7909
Employees
24600
Web
https://www.fivebelow.com
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