Forecast of Modest Same-Store Sales Growth Makes Starbucks (SBUX, $66.91) Slump
Shares of the American coffee company and coffeehouse chain, Starbucks Corporation, slumped more than 3% in the after-hours trade after the company revised its global same-store sales growth for the long-term.
The company estimated an annual long-term global same-store sales growth of 3% - 4%, roughly in-line with analysts forecasts of 3% - 5% growth for this year.
Starbucks also trimmed its outlook for long-term annual EPS growth to at least 10%, after it had lowered the forecast in November 2017 to 12% or greater from the previous forecast 15%-20% growth. However, the company kept its long-term consolidated revenue growth in-line with the previously set estimate of 7% - 9%.
Despite the revision in the EPS estimate, the company reaffirmed its estimation of seeing an EPS of $2.61 - $2.66 compared to analysts consensus estimate of $2.65 on revenue growth of 5% - 7%. The company expects revenue in the range of $26 billion - $26.5 billion vs. the consensus estimate of $26.1 billion.
The company also confirmed increasing its store footprint in China to 6,000 stores across 230 cities over the next four years, up from the present 3,600 stores across 150 cities. They also unveiled plans to expand its coffee delivery network across the U.S., in partnership with Uber Eats.
SBUX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SBUX turned positive on October 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where SBUX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SBUX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBUX as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SBUX entered a downward trend on October 10, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (6.598). P/E Ratio (36.593) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.283). SBUX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.673) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.582). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.624) is also within normal values, averaging (8.435).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants
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