Lockheed Martin (LMT, $279.23) Bags Japan’s Fighter Jet Contract
In response to rising pressure from China’s growing military strength and President Trump to spend more on American military hardware, the Japanese government on Tuesday announced that it plans to spend nearly $10 billion for fighter jets.
Japan has expressed its plan to buy 147 F-35 fighter jets from Lockheed Martin, up from the previously planned 42 fighter jets, making Japan the largest customer outside the U.S. for Lockheed Martin. The announcement comes after the cabinet of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Tuesday approved an increase of Japan’s existing order, as the nation embarked on materializing its new defense strategy, which also includes the development of Tokyo’s first post-World War II aircraft carriers.
According to the terms of the deal, around 40 of the jets out of the 147 will be the F-35B version – which is nearly 20% more expensive than the conventional F-35A but has the special ability of taking off and landing vertically and is expected to be used on two flat-top destroyers that will be refitted to carry aircraft.
The $10 billion fighter jet deal, at its current publicized prices, is expected to become the world’s most expensive military program in the recent history.
LMT in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on August 21, 2026
LMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 37 cases where LMT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LMT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 201 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 306 cases where LMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 20, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LMT as a result. In 42 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LMT turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
LMT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.793) is normal, around the industry mean (6.283). P/E Ratio (19.329) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.226). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.999) is also within normal values, averaging (1.893). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.577) is also within normal values, averaging (18.543).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a manufacturer of components and systems for aerospace and defense use
Industry AerospaceDefense
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