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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 09, 2019

Netflix ( NFLX, $264.99) gets a $100 price target cut from Monness Crespi Hardt,on streaming competition

Netflix got a price target cut from Monness Crespi Hardt on Wednesday, on competition concerns.

Analysts at Monness Crespi Hardt lowered their price target on the video streaming giant’s shares by $100 to $340 .  But the buy rating was re-iterated.

As factors behind his decision, analyst Brian White cited a macro environment that has weakened since Netflix last provided guidance, and more details last month from Apple about its launch plans for Apple TV+.

Also, Piper Jaffray analysts on Tuesday revealed results from a survey of 9,500 high school students, that indicated Netflix (35% of the teens polled) falling behind YouTube (37%). However, analyst Michael Olsen, re-iterated an overweight rating on the company, and said he believes Netflix continues to maintain "strong teen mind share".  Among streaming services, teens are preferring Netflix over others, Piper Jaffray found. Hulu and Amazon’s Prime Video served as the preferred platforms for 7% and 3% of teens surveyed, respectively. Cable TV came in third at 12%, down from 14% in the spring.

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of oversold territory on October 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on October 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NFLX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NFLX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on October 13, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.282) is normal, around the industry mean (21.928). P/E Ratio (46.632) is within average values for comparable stocks, (76.405). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.233) is also within normal values, averaging (5.022). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.223) is also within normal values, averaging (21.361).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Paramount Skydance Corporation (NASDAQ:PSKY), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 12.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 474.38B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 474.38B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. KUKE experienced the highest price growth at 128%, while KWM experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. NFLX showed earnings on October 21, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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