Novavax (NVAX, $1.99) Stock Jumps Close To +8%
Novavax, Inc.’s stock price jumped +7.6% in the latest trading session. The climb was accompanied by a trading volume higher than usual. This follows the biotech company's recent announcement of the initiation of phase 2 clinical trial of its flu vaccine NanoFlu in older adults.
What's more,Novavax's current ratio - a metric of how well a company can meet its short-term obligations - is at 4.50x, which is higher than some of its peers GlaxoSmithKline (0.90x) Novartis (1.10x) and Sanofi (1.20x) as suggested by a Market Realist report.
NVAX sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NVAX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVAX moved out of overbought territory on October 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVAX as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NVAX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVAX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NVAX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for NVAX moved above the 200-day moving average on September 12, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVAX advanced for three days, in of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 122 cases where NVAX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVAX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (34.965) is normal, around the industry mean (24.230). P/E Ratio (3.649) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.529). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.181). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (349.879).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which engages in development of novel recombinant vaccines
Industry Biotechnology
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