Ross Stores bounces off of its 50-day moving average
Retailer Ross Stores (Nasdaq: ROST) saw its stock double in value from mid-2017 through the middle of this year. Sure there were some up and down cycles along the way, but the overall trend in the stock has been to upside for over two years.
Looking at the daily chart we see how the stock has been trending higher since the end of May and has been riding its 50-day moving average higher over the last four months. The recent pullback got my attention as the 50-day acting as support coincided with bullish crossover by the stochastic readings. The indicators were in oversold territory and turned higher over the last few days. We saw a similar pattern in the chart back in August when the stock was trading in the $102 range and then went on to rally up to $114.
From a fundamental perspective, Ross Stores has been doing pretty well. The company has seen its earnings grow by 18% per year over the last three years while sales have grown by a rate of 8% per year. The company boasts a return on equity of 47% and a profit margin of 13.7%.
The one area of concern from Tickeron's Fundamental Analysis Overview is the Valuation Rating. Ross gets a rating of 87 and that indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.
All the other fundamental ratings are either better than average or average at worse. The Profit vs. Risk Rating is 14, indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock much better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 32n and that indicates very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The PE Growth Rating for Ross is 42, pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.
Turning our attention to the sentiment toward Ross, there is a certain degree of skepticism being aimed at the stock. There are 23 analysts covering the stock with 13 "buy" ratings, eight "hold" ratings, and two "sell" ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 56.5% and that is below average.
The short interest ratio is at 2.62 and that is slightly lower than average, but it has increased in the last few months. The ratio was at 1.85 at the end of August, so the ratio is trending higher.
Ross Stores is scheduled to release earnings later this month and analysts expect the company to report earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97 for the quarter and that is up from $0.91 from last year. The report is scheduled for November 21 and it is set for release after the closing bell.
Aroon Indicator for ROST shows an upward move is likely
ROST's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 14, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 267 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 267 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROST advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROST moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where ROST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROST as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROST turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROST declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.099) is normal, around the industry mean (6.136). P/E Ratio (25.468) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.822) is also within normal values, averaging (2.316). ROST has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.010) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (2.445) is also within normal values, averaging (5.027).
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General Information
an operator of discount clothing chains & sells closeout merchandise
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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