The world of AI-driven trading has witnessed remarkable advancements, with Trend Trader's "Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" bots making headlines for their impressive +7.18% gain while trading TTD over the previous week. In this article, we delve into the recent earnings results and market dynamics surrounding TTD, shedding light on the factors influencing its current trajectory.
Market Trends:
TTD, a stock that enjoyed an upward trend, took a significant turn on November 09, 2023, as it moved below its 50-day moving average. Historical data reveals that in 32 of 35 similar instances, such a breach led to a further decrease in stock price within the following month. The statistical odds now point to a 90% likelihood of a sustained downward trend.
Earnings Performance:
The latest earnings report on November 09 showcased a positive performance, with earnings per share coming in at 33 cents, surpassing the estimated 28 cents. With 42.56 million shares outstanding, TTD's current market capitalization stands at 31.38 billion. This robust earnings performance suggests a certain resilience amid challenging market conditions.
Market Capitalization Comparison:
To put TTD's market capitalization into perspective, the average market cap across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.78 billion. Notably, market caps in this industry vary widely, ranging from 291 million to a staggering 2.75 trillion. For reference, Microsoft (MSFT) leads the pack with a valuation of 2.75 trillion, while the lowest-valued company, BLGI, holds a market cap of 291 million.
Price Movements:
Analyzing price movements within the Packaged Software Industry, we observe an average weekly price growth of 2%. However, the monthly and quarterly averages present a different picture, with industry-wide declines of -3% and -5%, respectively. Noteworthy outliers include MDNWF, experiencing a remarkable 1,385% price growth, and VSBGD, facing the most significant fall at -75%.
Volume Analysis:
Turning our attention to trading volumes, the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry reflects a -9% decrease. On a monthly basis, volume growth stands at 39%, while the quarterly figure is 22%. These metrics provide insights into the varying levels of investor interest and activity within the industry.
Summary:
As we navigate the complexities of the stock market, the case of TTD serves as a valuable example of how AI trading bots can impact stock performance. Despite a recent shift to a downward trend, the positive earnings report suggests resilience, leaving room for ongoing analysis and strategic decision-making.
TTD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where TTD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTD advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where TTD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TTD moved out of overbought territory on December 05, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TTD as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TTD turned negative on December 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TTD moved below its 50-day moving average on December 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (19.724) is normal, around the industry mean (31.082). P/E Ratio (242.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.449) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (22.422) is also within normal values, averaging (58.159).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online advertising exchange
Industry PackagedSoftware