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Nov 13, 2023

Smart Trading Pays Off: $TTD Surges +7.18% Thanks to Trader Algorithm.

The world of AI-driven trading has witnessed remarkable advancements, with Trend Trader's "Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" bots making headlines for their impressive +7.18% gain while trading TTD over the previous week. In this article, we delve into the recent earnings results and market dynamics surrounding TTD, shedding light on the factors influencing its current trajectory.

Market Trends:

TTD, a stock that enjoyed an upward trend, took a significant turn on November 09, 2023, as it moved below its 50-day moving average. Historical data reveals that in 32 of 35 similar instances, such a breach led to a further decrease in stock price within the following month. The statistical odds now point to a 90% likelihood of a sustained downward trend.

Earnings Performance:

The latest earnings report on November 09 showcased a positive performance, with earnings per share coming in at 33 cents, surpassing the estimated 28 cents. With 42.56 million shares outstanding, TTD's current market capitalization stands at 31.38 billion. This robust earnings performance suggests a certain resilience amid challenging market conditions.

Market Capitalization Comparison:

To put TTD's market capitalization into perspective, the average market cap across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.78 billion. Notably, market caps in this industry vary widely, ranging from 291 million to a staggering 2.75 trillion. For reference, Microsoft (MSFT) leads the pack with a valuation of 2.75 trillion, while the lowest-valued company, BLGI, holds a market cap of 291 million.

Price Movements:

Analyzing price movements within the Packaged Software Industry, we observe an average weekly price growth of 2%. However, the monthly and quarterly averages present a different picture, with industry-wide declines of -3% and -5%, respectively. Noteworthy outliers include MDNWF, experiencing a remarkable 1,385% price growth, and VSBGD, facing the most significant fall at -75%.

Volume Analysis:

Turning our attention to trading volumes, the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry reflects a -9% decrease. On a monthly basis, volume growth stands at 39%, while the quarterly figure is 22%. These metrics provide insights into the varying levels of investor interest and activity within the industry.

Summary:

As we navigate the complexities of the stock market, the case of TTD serves as a valuable example of how AI trading bots can impact stock performance. Despite a recent shift to a downward trend, the positive earnings report suggests resilience, leaving room for ongoing analysis and strategic decision-making.

Related Ticker: TTD

TTD's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for TTD moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where TTD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTD as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTD just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where TTD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTD advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TTD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TTD entered a downward trend on April 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TTD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (19.724) is normal, around the industry mean (30.787). P/E Ratio (242.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.449) is also within normal values, averaging (2.707). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (22.422) is also within normal values, averaging (59.678).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TTD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. MSGM experienced the highest price growth at 233%, while FMZNF experienced the biggest fall at -62%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 39% and the average quarterly volume growth was 116%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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