Gaming software company Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) has been trending lower over the last six months and it hasn’t bounced back as much as other stocks. There are two hurdles the stock faces at this point—the upper rail of a downward sloped channel and the 50-day moving average. The two layers of resistance are in close proximity to one another with both in the $97-$98 area.
For the sake of comparison, the S&P 500 crossed back above its 50-day moving average in mid-January as did the Nasdaq.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Take-Two on March 15. The prediction calls for a decline of 4% decline in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 59%. Past predictions on Take-Two have been successful 76% of the time.
Take-Two’s fundamentals are somewhat of a conundrum. In the most recent quarter the company’s earnings fell by 50% while sales jumped by 160%. Over the last three years the earnings have grown at a rate of 34% while sales have grown at a rate of 16%.
The company’s management efficiency measurements are really good with a return on equity of 32.6% and a profit margin of 28.2%.
The RSI Oscillator for TTWO moved out of oversold territory on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where TTWO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TTWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 269 cases where TTWO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TTWO as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TTWO turned negative on April 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TTWO moved below its 50-day moving average on April 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for TTWO moved below the 200-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.007) is normal, around the industry mean (29.955). P/E Ratio (61.728) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.575). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.500) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.708) is also within normal values, averaging (55.459).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of interactive entertainment software
Industry PackagedSoftware