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May 29, 2026
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Delivers +21% Adjusted EPS Growth in Q2

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Delivers +21% Adjusted EPS Growth in Q2

Key Takeaways

  • Reported diluted earnings per share reached $2.43 for the quarter ended April 30, 2026, compared with $6.27 a year earlier that included a large gain on the sale of Charles Schwab shares.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 21% year-over-year to $2.38, with adjusted net income increasing 15% to $4.168 billion.
  • Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking each delivered record quarterly earnings.
  • U.S. Banking showed momentum with adjusted net income up 8% year-over-year on a reported basis, supported by core lending growth.
  • The bank raised its quarterly dividend to $1.12 per share from $1.08 and reported a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 14.3%.
  • Revenue totaled $15.80 billion, down from $22.94 billion a year ago due to the absence of the prior Schwab gain.

Earnings Context and Why It Matters

Toronto-Dominion Bank reports results on a fiscal year ending October 31, with the second quarter covering the three months ended April 30. This report provides investors with an early read on 2026 performance following the bank’s U.S. balance sheet restructuring and the completed sale of its Schwab stake. Strong adjusted results across core Canadian and wholesale businesses, combined with continued progress on U.S. remediation efforts, signal operational resilience amid moderating credit loss provisions and disciplined capital management. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Reported Results

Reported diluted earnings per share for the second quarter were $2.43, down from $6.27 in the same period last year due to the one-time Schwab gain in the prior year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 21% to $2.38 from $1.97. Reported net income totaled $4.251 billion versus $11.129 billion a year ago, while adjusted net income rose 15% to $4.168 billion from $3.626 billion. Revenue declined to $15.80 billion from $22.94 billion, reflecting the absence of the Schwab-related gain. The bank exceeded analyst expectations on an adjusted basis and raised its quarterly dividend to $1.12 per share. Key items of note included amortization of acquired intangibles and adjustments related to the terminated First Horizon acquisition and U.S. strategic cards portfolio.

Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Shares of TD rose modestly following the release, reflecting investor focus on the solid adjusted earnings beat and dividend increase despite the year-over-year reported decline tied to the prior Schwab gain. Sentiment remained constructive on the bank’s record segment results and capital strength, with analysts highlighting positive operating leverage and progress on U.S. priorities as key positives heading into the remainder of fiscal 2026.

Using AI Tools to Track Segment Performance

One thing that stands out when reviewing these results is the consistency across the bank’s core Canadian operations and wholesale businesses. I turned to Tickeron’s AI tools to quickly scan peer banks and confirm how TD’s adjusted growth stacks up against sector trends. From what I see, the combination of record earnings in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking, alongside U.S. lending momentum, gives a clearer picture of underlying strength.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Investors will watch for continued execution on U.S. anti-money laundering remediation, which remains the bank’s top priority. Management highlighted ongoing investments in talent, innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside efforts to simplify operations and restructure the cost base.

Segment performance offers additional visibility. Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking continues to benefit from loan and deposit growth plus higher margins. Wealth Management and Insurance saw record assets and new client tools, while Wholesale Banking delivered strong revenue across Global Markets and Corporate and Investment Banking.

Broader factors include credit loss trends, U.S. lending momentum in middle-market and credit card portfolios, and any updates on capital return strategies such as share buybacks. The Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 14.3% provides flexibility for future actions. I’m watching this closely as the bank moves through the second half of the year.

Disclaimer

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Related Ticker: TD

TD's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TD turned positive on June 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where TD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TD advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 352 cases where TD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 24, placing this stock slightly worse than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TD's P/B Ratio (2.483) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.888). TD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (19.884) as compared to the industry average of (15.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.721). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.496) is also within normal values, averaging (4.002).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 205.45B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 897.96B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 897.96B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. BCS experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while SMFG experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -52%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 78%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 69
P/E Growth Rating: 31
Price Growth Rating: 39
SMR Rating: 7
Profit Risk Rating: 23
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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