Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates
Union Pacific missed Wall Street estimates on earnings
The railroad company’s fourth-quarter earnings came in at $2.02 a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.07 a share. The figure was also below the year-ago level of $2.12.
Revenue fell -9.5% from the year-ago quarter to $5.21 billion, below Wall Street's estimate of $5.22 billion.
Union Pacific has plans to cut its average number of workers by around 8% in 2020. This follows its -11% reduction of staffing in 2019.
UNP in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on March 13, 2025
UNP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where UNP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for UNP moved above the 200-day moving average on February 14, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UNP as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UNP turned negative on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
UNP moved below its 50-day moving average on March 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (8.382) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.691). P/E Ratio (21.126) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.169). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.428) is also within normal values, averaging (2.642). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.879) is also within normal values, averaging (2.684).
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General Information
a provider of railroad and freight transportation services
Industry Railroads