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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 25, 2020

Union Pacific (UNP, $185.61) misses Q4 earnings estimates

Union Pacific missed Wall Street estimates on earnings

The railroad company’s fourth-quarter earnings came in at $2.02 a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.07 a share. The figure was also below the year-ago level of $2.12.

Revenue fell -9.5% from the year-ago quarter to $5.21 billion, below Wall Street's estimate of $5.22 billion.

Union Pacific has plans to cut its average number of workers by around 8% in 2020. This follows  its -11% reduction of staffing in 2019.

Related Ticker: UNP

UNP's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for UNP moved out of oversold territory on October 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 19, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP just turned positive on November 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where UNP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UNP entered a downward trend on November 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (7.752) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.906). P/E Ratio (19.204) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.548). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.570) is also within normal values, averaging (8.606). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.519) is also within normal values, averaging (3.344).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 16.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 320 to 134.18B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 134.18B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 320.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. PNYG experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while NXPGF experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. UNP showed earnings on October 23, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of railroad and freight transportation services

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Railroads
Address
1400 Douglas Street
Phone
+1 402 544-5000
Employees
32973
Web
https://www.up.com
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