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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 02, 2019

United Natural Foods (UNFI, $11.08) disappoints on earnings and full-year sales guidance

United Natural Foods reported earnings that fell short of analyst’ estimates. The company also issued a lighter-than-expected guidance on sales.

For the fourth quarter ended Aug. 3, the distributor of natural and organic foods reported adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share, missing the Wall Street estimate of 47 cents (based on FactSet survey of analysts).

Net sales of $6.41 billion were in line with analysts' expectations.

Looking ahead, the company expects sales to sit between $23.5 billion and $24.3 billion – a range lower than analysts’ forecast of $24.4 billion.

United Natural Foods’ earnings-per-share projection ranges between $1.22 and $1.76 for the full-year, compared to analysts’ expectation of $1.32.

Related Ticker: UNFI

UNFI in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on September 30, 2025

UNFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UNFI moved out of overbought territory on October 20, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UNFI as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UNFI turned negative on October 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNFI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNFI advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 259 cases where UNFI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.461) is normal, around the industry mean (18.773). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (118.484). UNFI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.959). UNFI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (0.074) is also within normal values, averaging (0.478).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Industry description

Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Distributors Industry is 4.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 21.55K to 37.01B. SYY holds the highest valuation in this group at 37.01B. The lowest valued company is LFER at 21.55K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. MCLE experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while AIXN experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. UNFI showed earnings on September 30, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of natural foods and related products

Industry FoodDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Distributors
Address
313 Iron Horse Way
Phone
+1 401 528-8634
Employees
29455
Web
https://www.unfi.com
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