One such bot, accessible at "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)," recently demonstrated its prowess by generating a significant gain of +4.06% while trading SOFI over the previous week. However, despite this impressive performance, it is essential to analyze the prevailing market conditions and earning results to gauge the sustainability of such gains.
Bearish Signal Amidst MACD Turn Negative:
SOFI encountered a bearish signal on July 24, 2023, as its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative. The MACD is a popular technical indicator that traders use to identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts. A negative MACD suggests that the short-term moving average has crossed below the long-term moving average, indicating a potential downtrend in the stock's price.
According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which examined 28 previous instances of the MACD turning negative, the stock moved lower in 26 of these cases. This empirical evidence puts the odds of a downward move for SOFI at a substantial 90%, signaling caution for traders and investors.
Earnings Results and Market Capitalization:
Understanding a company's financial performance is crucial for evaluating its investment potential. SOFIs last earnings report, released on May 01, showed earnings per share (EPS) of -5 cents, surpassing the estimated EPS of -7 cents. This positive earnings surprise may have contributed to investor confidence and the subsequent price appreciation.
Moreover, the company has 5.18 million shares outstanding, which indicates its market capitalization at approximately 8.89 billion USD. A company's market capitalization is a key metric that reflects the overall value of its outstanding shares in the stock market.
Summary:
While AI trading robots, like the one accessible at "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)," have demonstrated their ability to achieve impressive gains, it is essential to remain cautious and thoroughly analyze other factors influencing the stock's performance. The recent bearish signal generated by the MACD turning negative raises concerns about a potential downward move for SOFI in the near future, backed by historical evidence.
Additionally, SOFI's positive earnings results have positively influenced investor sentiment, but it is essential to keep track of future earnings reports and other market developments that may impact the stock's trajectory.
SOFI moved below its 50-day moving average on May 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 29 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOFI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SOFI entered a downward trend on May 09, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 46 cases where SOFI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SOFI as a result. In of 59 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SOFI just turned positive on May 14, 2024. Looking at past instances where SOFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOFI advanced for three days, in of 200 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SOFI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.447) is normal, around the industry mean (4.672). P/E Ratio (9.443) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.143). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.039). SOFI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (3.236) is also within normal values, averaging (4.549).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SOFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry FinanceRentalLeasing