One such bot, accessible at "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)," recently demonstrated its prowess by generating a significant gain of +4.06% while trading SOFI over the previous week. However, despite this impressive performance, it is essential to analyze the prevailing market conditions and earning results to gauge the sustainability of such gains.
Bearish Signal Amidst MACD Turn Negative:
SOFI encountered a bearish signal on July 24, 2023, as its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative. The MACD is a popular technical indicator that traders use to identify potential trend changes and momentum shifts. A negative MACD suggests that the short-term moving average has crossed below the long-term moving average, indicating a potential downtrend in the stock's price.
According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which examined 28 previous instances of the MACD turning negative, the stock moved lower in 26 of these cases. This empirical evidence puts the odds of a downward move for SOFI at a substantial 90%, signaling caution for traders and investors.
Earnings Results and Market Capitalization:
Understanding a company's financial performance is crucial for evaluating its investment potential. SOFIs last earnings report, released on May 01, showed earnings per share (EPS) of -5 cents, surpassing the estimated EPS of -7 cents. This positive earnings surprise may have contributed to investor confidence and the subsequent price appreciation.
Moreover, the company has 5.18 million shares outstanding, which indicates its market capitalization at approximately 8.89 billion USD. A company's market capitalization is a key metric that reflects the overall value of its outstanding shares in the stock market.
Summary:
While AI trading robots, like the one accessible at "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)," have demonstrated their ability to achieve impressive gains, it is essential to remain cautious and thoroughly analyze other factors influencing the stock's performance. The recent bearish signal generated by the MACD turning negative raises concerns about a potential downward move for SOFI in the near future, backed by historical evidence.
Additionally, SOFI's positive earnings results have positively influenced investor sentiment, but it is essential to keep track of future earnings reports and other market developments that may impact the stock's trajectory.
SOFI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 17, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SOFI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SOFI just turned positive on April 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where SOFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SOFI moved above its 50-day moving average on April 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SOFI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOFI advanced for three days, in of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 167 cases where SOFI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 46 cases where SOFI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SOFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SOFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.447) is normal, around the industry mean (4.994). P/E Ratio (9.443) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.337). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.039). SOFI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (3.236) is also within normal values, averaging (3.489).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SOFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry FinanceRentalLeasing