Urban Outfitters (URBN, $34.54) beat Q2 earnings expectations
Urban Outfitters reported second quarter results that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The retail company’s second-quarter earnings came in at $1.28 per share, compared to analysts’ estimate of 78 cents per share.
Revenue of $1.16 billion also surpassed analysts’ expectation of $1.09 billion.
Net sales rose +20.3% compared to 2019 levels. The company’s comparable retail segment increased +22%, on the back of double-digit growth in digital channel sales that offset low-single digit decreases in retail sales.
URBN's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for URBN moved out of oversold territory on May 12, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Throughout the month of 04/13/22 - 05/16/22, the price experienced a -13% Downtrend. During the week of 05/09/22 - 05/16/22, the stock fell -2%.
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 66 cases where URBN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +5.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in 243 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
URBN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 22, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URBN as a result. In 72 of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URBN turned negative on April 25, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
URBN moved below its 50-day Moving Average on April 21, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for URBN entered a downward trend on May 04, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 76%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.42.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. URBN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.245) is normal, around the industry mean (7.226). P/E Ratio (7.257) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.725). URBN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.065) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.229). URBN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.032). P/S Ratio (0.496) is also within normal values, averaging (1.910).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. URBN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 7.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 67.2B. TJX holds the highest valuation in this group at 67.2B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 0.62%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.39%. JILL experienced the highest price growth at 9.38%, while RENT experienced the biggest fall at -33.28%.
- 4/23/22 4:20 AM: Urban Outfitters (URBN, $23.67) was a top loser this week, declining -9.17%
- 4/14/22 4:49 AM: Urban Outfitters (URBN, $26.11) was a top weekly gainer, with a +7.27% jump
- 4/6/22 8:51 AM: Urban Outfitters (URBN, $24.97) was a top loser this week, declining -7.04%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -23.55%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20.24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 63.2%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the MA200MA50 Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 41%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.25.
8 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the MA50MA10 indicator with average odds of 78%.
The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), Capri Holdings Limited (NYSE:CPRI), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).
The average market capitalization across the group is 5.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 776.6K to 67.2B. TJX holds the highest valuation in this group at 67.2B. The lowest valued company is PBBSF at 776.6K.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 1.7%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -6.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.21%. TALN experienced the highest price growth at 22.22%, while MOGU experienced the biggest fall at -20.66%.
- 5/14/22 4:24 AM: Express (EXPR, $3.57) was a top loser this week, declining -7.51%. Expect a Downtrend continuation
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Poshmark (POSH, $12.04) was a top weekly gainer, with a +7.6% jump
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Onion Global (OG, $1.14) is a top weekly loser for penny stocks, falling -18.57%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 23.2%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 283.27% and the average quarterly volume growth was 80.86%
- 5/11/22 7:39 AM: The volume for Hennes & Mauritz AB stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 209% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/14/22 4:48 AM: The volume for Hennes & Mauritz AB stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 617% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/5/22 5:32 AM: The volume for Secoo Holding stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 215% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows