Vail Resorts reported fiscal 2019 fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations.
The ski-resort operator reported a loss of -$2.22 a share for the quarter, narrower than the Street's estimate of a -$2.53 loss.
The company’s revenue of $244 million also came in higher than analysts' $240.1 million forecast.
Looking ahead, Vail predicts that its fiscal full-year 2020 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization would range between $778 million and $818 million.
CEO Rob Katz emphasized that there had been strong growth in visitation and spending compared to the prior year. Katz mentioned that Vail’s results throughout fiscal 2019 reflect the growth and stability resulting from its season pass, tailwinds from its geographic diversification, and the success of its data-driven marketing efforts.
The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTN as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTN turned negative on September 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MTN moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where MTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 172 cases where MTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.163) is normal, around the industry mean (12.515). P/E Ratio (36.291) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.997). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.333) is also within normal values, averaging (1.549). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.016) is also within normal values, averaging (3.531).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which owns and operates resorts
Industry CasinosGaming