Vail Resorts (MTN, $236.98) glides ahead of analysts' expectations for fiscal Q4
Vail Resorts reported fiscal 2019 fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations.
The ski-resort operator reported a loss of -$2.22 a share for the quarter, narrower than the Street's estimate of a -$2.53 loss.
The company’s revenue of $244 million also came in higher than analysts' $240.1 million forecast.
Looking ahead, Vail predicts that its fiscal full-year 2020 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization would range between $778 million and $818 million.
CEO Rob Katz emphasized that there had been strong growth in visitation and spending compared to the prior year. Katz mentioned that Vail’s results throughout fiscal 2019 reflect the growth and stability resulting from its season pass, tailwinds from its geographic diversification, and the success of its data-driven marketing efforts.
MTN's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 5 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTN as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTN turned negative on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MTN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for MTN entered a downward trend on November 25, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.876) is normal, around the industry mean (5.828). P/E Ratio (18.619) is within average values for comparable stocks, (499.352). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.740). MTN has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.063) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (1.760) is also within normal values, averaging (1.690).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which owns and operates resorts
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines
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