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CMC vs HLP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMC is a Buy and HLP is a Hold.
CMC sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for CMC moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 42 of the 53 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMC just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +3.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMC advanced for three days, in 216 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMC as a result. In 51 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
CMC moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for CMC entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.520) is normal, around the industry mean (2.913). P/E Ratio (11.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.265). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.320) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (6248.204).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Aroon Indicator for HLP shows an upward move is likely
HLP's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 12, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 139 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 125 of the 139 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HLP just turned positive on November 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where HLP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 26 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +17.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HLP advanced for three days, in 165 of 187 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HLP moved out of overbought territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HLP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
HLP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HLP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.088) is normal, around the industry mean (2.084). P/E Ratio (79.333) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.382). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.339). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. HLP's P/S Ratio (7.716) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.301).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HLP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
CMC | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CMC | HLP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 64% | 10 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HLP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HLP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HLP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HLP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMC (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а +2.62% price change this week, while HLP (@Steel) price change was +31.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was +4.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.94%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was +5.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMC is expected to report earnings on Jan 11, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (+4.13% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (+5.80% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
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CMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMC has been closely correlated with STLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMC jumps, then STLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMC | 100% | -1.28% | ||
| STLD - CMC | 73% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| RS - CMC | 68% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| NUE - CMC | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| MTUS - CMC | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.08% | ||
| WS - CMC | 63% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
More | ||||
HLP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that HLP and CMC have been poorly correlated (+13% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that HLP and CMC's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HLP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLP | 100% | +1.37% | ||
| CMC - HLP | 13% Poorly correlated | -1.28% | ||
| CLF - HLP | 10% Poorly correlated | -0.53% | ||
| ACNT - HLP | 4% Poorly correlated | -0.74% | ||
| ASTL - HLP | 4% Poorly correlated | -2.60% | ||
| LUD - HLP | 3% Poorly correlated | -0.52% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PST | 24.79 | 0.40 | +1.65% |
| ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury (PST) | |||
| IBMP | 25.27 | -0.04 | -0.16% |
| iShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Muni Bond ETF (IBMP) | |||
| SPSB | 29.56 | -0.06 | -0.20% |
| State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF (SPSB) | |||
| FLC | 15.57 | -0.30 | -1.89% |
| Flaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund | |||
| PRNT | 23.22 | -0.54 | -2.27% |
| 3D Printing ETF (PRNT) | |||