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PARR vs PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PARR has delivered exceptional year-to-date returns exceeding 144%, significantly outpacing broader market benchmarks amid analyst price target upgrades.
- PSX has posted strong year-to-date gains near 66% while advancing a substantial share repurchase program and maintaining consistent dividend distributions.
- PARR operates as a smaller, regionally focused refiner with operations in Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, and the Rockies, offering higher volatility and potential for outsized moves.
- PSX functions as a diversified integrated energy company with midstream, chemicals, and marketing segments that provide broader exposure and cash flow stability.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks benefiting from refining sector dynamics, though PARR exhibits more pronounced momentum in analyst sentiment and price appreciation.
- Relative positioning highlights a trade-off between PARR’s concentrated growth profile and PSX’s scale-driven resilience across commodity cycles.
Introduction
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) and Phillips 66 (PSX) represent contrasting profiles within the energy refining and marketing sector. Investors and traders evaluating relative performance in this space often compare smaller, agile operators against larger, diversified incumbents to assess risk-reward dynamics. This analysis examines recent stock behavior, business models, and market positioning to inform decisions by momentum-focused traders seeking concentrated opportunities as well as those prioritizing stability and shareholder returns in volatile commodity environments.
PARR Overview and Recent Performance
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is a growth-oriented energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics in logistically complex markets across Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, and the Rockies. With approximately 219,000 barrels per day of refining capacity, the company emphasizes integrated operations in niche regional areas. In recent market activity, PARR shares have shown robust upward momentum, with year-to-date gains exceeding 144% driven by strong second-quarter financial results, including adjusted net income of $78.3 million. Multiple analyst firms raised price targets during recent weeks, contributing to positive sentiment shifts. Share repurchase activity has further supported per-share value, while broader energy sector tailwinds have influenced trading patterns.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is an integrated energy company engaged in refining, midstream, chemicals, renewable fuels, marketing, and specialties. It operates a large-scale downstream portfolio with global reach and significant cash generation capabilities. In recent market activity, PSX shares have advanced steadily, posting year-to-date returns near 66% alongside outperformance relative to the S&P 500 in multiple sessions. The company expanded its share repurchase authorization by $10 billion in recent weeks and maintained its quarterly dividend, reinforcing capital return initiatives. Refining margins and midstream segment growth have supported performance amid fluctuating crude oil prices and sector dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) and Phillips 66 (PSX) differ markedly in scale and scope. PARR functions as a smaller-cap, regionally concentrated refiner with higher beta and exposure to specific geographic markets, which can amplify both gains and volatility. In contrast, PSX maintains a diversified portfolio spanning midstream infrastructure, chemicals, and marketing that supports steadier cash flows across cycles. Recent momentum has favored PARR through outsized price appreciation and analyst upgrades, while PSX demonstrates consistent capital return programs and lower relative volatility. Sector exposure remains similar in refining, yet PSX’s broader footprint reduces single-market risk compared with PARR’s focused operations. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with PARR attracting momentum interest and PSX appealing to income-oriented strategies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, analyst sentiment, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI analytical framework would likely assign a probabilistic edge to PARR in momentum-oriented contexts due to its pronounced recent performance and catalyst-driven trajectory. However, PSX could register more favorably for stability-focused approaches given its diversified operations and capital return discipline. The ultimate assessment depends on an algorithm’s specific parameters and investor objectives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PARR is a StrongBuy and PSX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PARR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PARR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PARR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PARR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PARR (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а +21.16% price change this week, while PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +14.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +8.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +31.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
PARR is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (+8.25% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| PARR | PSX | PARR / PSX | |
| Capitalization | 4.02B | 93.2B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 792M | 9.2B | 9% |
| Gain YTD | 128.571 | 83.850 | 153% |
| P/E Ratio | 4.71 | 13.33 | 35% |
| Revenue | 7.54B | 134B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 172M | 5.15B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 1.35B | 27.1B | 5% |
PARR | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSX's Valuation (56) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PARR (93) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than PARR’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PARR (19) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew similarly to PARR’s over the last 12 months.
PARR's SMR Rating (30) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as PSX (58) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PARR’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PARR (36) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that PSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than PARR’s over the last 12 months.
PARR's P/E Growth Rating (90) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as PSX (96) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PARR’s stock grew similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
| PARR | PSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 77% | 12 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 70% |
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PARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PARR has been closely correlated with DK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PARR jumps, then DK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARR | 100% | -2.22% | ||
| DK - PARR | 77% Closely correlated | -4.14% | ||
| DINO - PARR | 73% Closely correlated | +1.96% | ||
| VLO - PARR | 72% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| MPC - PARR | 69% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| PBF - PARR | 68% Closely correlated | -3.02% | ||
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PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PSX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSX | 100% | +0.43% | ||
| MPC - PSX | 85% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| VLO - PSX | 82% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| DINO - PSX | 75% Closely correlated | +1.96% | ||
| PBF - PSX | 72% Closely correlated | -3.02% | ||
| PARR - PSX | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.22% | ||
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