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PHM vs SMMD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PHM is a Hold and SMMD is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for PHM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PHM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 92 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PHM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PHM just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where PHM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
PHM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +7.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHM advanced for three days, in 212 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for PHM moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
PHM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PHM entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PHM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.774) is normal, around the industry mean (1.728). P/E Ratio (12.291) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.907). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.995) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
SMMD's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMMD turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where SMMD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMMD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +1.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMMD advanced for three days, in 261 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
SMMD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMMD as a result. In 74 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMMD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for SMMD entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
PHM | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| PHM | SMMD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PHM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while .
- PHM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PHM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PHM (@Homebuilding) experienced а +6.73% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +4.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
PHM is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+4.05% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.
SMMD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMMD has been closely correlated with ST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMMD jumps, then ST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMMD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMD | 100% | -0.49% | ||
| ST - SMMD | 71% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| ESI - SMMD | 69% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| TKR - SMMD | 69% Closely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| OSK - SMMD | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.93% | ||
| IVZ - SMMD | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
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