PHM
Price
$115.72
Change
-$0.17 (-0.15%)
Updated
Dec 18, 10:47 AM (EDT)
43 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$132.63
Change
-$0.10 (-0.08%)
Updated
Dec 18, 11:20 AM (EDT)
69 days until earnings call
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PHM vs TOL

Header iconPHM vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts PHM vs TOLBanner chart's image
Pultegroup
Price$115.72
Change-$0.17 (-0.15%)
Volume$1.2K
CapitalizationN/A
Toll Brothers
Price$132.63
Change-$0.10 (-0.08%)
Volume$100
CapitalizationN/A
PHM vs TOL Comparison Chart
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PHM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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PHM vs. TOL commentary
Dec 18, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PHM is a StrongBuy and TOL is a Hold.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Dec 18, 2024
Stock price -- (PHM: $115.89 vs. TOL: $132.73)
Brand notoriety: PHM: Notable vs. TOL: Not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: PHM: 120% vs. TOL: 110%
Market capitalization -- PHM: $25.45B vs. TOL: $13.34B
PHM [@Homebuilding] is valued at $25.45B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.34B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $53.71B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $7.78B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

PHM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • PHM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the long-term than PHM.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

PHM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • PHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the short-term than PHM.

Price Growth

PHM (@Homebuilding) experienced а -7.37% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was -8.84% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.27%.

Reported Earning Dates

PHM is expected to report earnings on Jan 30, 2025.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (-1.40% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
PHM($25.4B) has a higher market cap than TOL($13.3B). PHM (10.10) and TOL (9.92) have similar P/E ratio . TOL YTD gains are higher at: 30.095 vs. PHM (13.042). PHM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 3.53B vs. TOL (1.89B). PHM has more cash in the bank: 2.32B vs. TOL (755M). PHM has less debt than TOL: PHM (2.55B) vs TOL (2.85B). PHM has higher revenues than TOL: PHM (16.1B) vs TOL (10.2B).
PHMTOLPHM / TOL
Capitalization25.4B13.3B191%
EBITDA3.53B1.89B187%
Gain YTD13.04230.09543%
P/E Ratio10.109.92102%
Revenue16.1B10.2B158%
Total Cash2.32B755M308%
Total Debt2.55B2.85B90%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
PHM vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
PHM
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
5356
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
43
Fair valued
45
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
108
SMR RATING
1..100
3641
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6157
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6447
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

PHM's Valuation (43) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (45). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (10). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.

PHM's SMR Rating (36) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (41). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (61). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (64). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PHMTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 24 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 20 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Bearish Trend 6 days ago
62%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
70%
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PHM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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PHM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with LEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then LEN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PHM
1D Price
Change %
PHM100%
-0.80%
LEN - PHM
91%
Closely correlated
-0.30%
TOL - PHM
91%
Closely correlated
-1.37%
KBH - PHM
90%
Closely correlated
-1.18%
DHI - PHM
89%
Closely correlated
-0.61%
TMHC - PHM
88%
Closely correlated
-1.21%
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