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AEM or FNV or WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) vs. Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM leads with the strongest year-to-date (YTD) relative performance at 14.17% and lowest P/E ratio (18.19), offering attractive valuation in the gold producer segment.
- WPM shows robust YTD gains of 16.98% and recent quarterly earnings beats, bolstered by its streaming model for leveraged precious metals exposure.
- FNV trades at a premium P/E of 40.30 but benefits from record Q4 revenue and a low-beta profile (0.89), appealing for stability-focused investors.
- All three stocks have outperformed broader indices over the past year, with 1-year returns ranging from 41.02% (FNV) to 70.24% (AEM).
- Royalty/streamers FNV and WPM exhibit higher EV/EBITDA multiples (25.62 and 25.43) compared to AEM's 9.65, reflecting lower operational risk.
- Recent gold price strength has driven sector momentum, with analyst targets suggesting upside potential across the board.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AEM, a leading gold producer; FNV, a gold-focused royalty company; and WPM, a precious metals streamer. These firms operate in the gold mining and royalty sectors, benefiting from sustained high gold prices amid economic uncertainty and inflation concerns. Investors seeking exposure to precious metals—whether through direct production leverage or lower-risk royalty/streaming models—will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. This analysis highlights recent trends, financial metrics, and contrasts to inform stock comparison decisions in the current environment.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is a Canadian-based senior gold producer with operations in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico, emphasizing low-cost, long-life assets. In recent market activity, AEM has demonstrated resilience, posting a YTD return of 14.17% and a 1-year gain of 70.24%, surpassing the S&P/TSX Composite index. Shares recently traded around $193, supported by Q1 FY26 results showing $4.1 billion in revenue and $1.71 billion in earnings, with EPS of $3.40 beating estimates. Sentiment has been influenced by strong production from projects like Malartic, robust gold prices, and analyst upgrades, including JP Morgan's raised price target to $222. A low beta of 0.57 underscores its defensive positioning, though recent pullbacks reflect broader sector volatility.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) operates as a leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company, providing upfront capital to miners for future production shares without operational risks. Recent performance includes a YTD return of 11.63% and 1-year gain of 41.02%, outpacing benchmarks. Trading near $232, FNV reported record Q4 FY25 revenue of $597.3 million and earnings of $356.2 million, with EPS of $1.85 exceeding forecasts. Key influences include the 2026 Asset Handbook release, sustainability reporting, and growth from assets like Cobre Panama. With a beta of 0.89 and analyst targets averaging $302, sentiment favors its diversified, capital-light model amid favorable metal prices.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) functions as a precious metals streaming company, financing mines for fixed-price future output of gold, silver, and others. It has led YTD performance at 16.98%, with a 1-year return of 68.98%. Shares hover around $139, driven by Q1 FY26 revenue of $901.47 million and earnings of $582.77 million. Recent expansions in streaming agreements enhance its portfolio, while high gold prices boost margins. A beta of 1.17 indicates moderate sensitivity to market moves, with UBS upgrading to Buy at $160 target. Positive earnings beats and production growth sustain investor interest despite sector fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEM, as a producer, offers direct operational leverage to gold prices but carries higher execution risks from mining costs and expansions, reflected in its lower EV/EBITDA of 9.65 and P/B of 3.68. In contrast, royalty/streamers FNV and WPM provide capital-light models with minimal capex (EV/EBITDA 25.62 and 25.43, P/B 5.86 and 6.82), prioritizing stability—FNV's zero-debt balance sheet edges out WPM's low debt. Growth drivers differ: AEM via mine developments, FNV/ WPM through new streams. Recent momentum favors WPM YTD, but AEM shows superior 1-year gains. Risks include commodity volatility (higher beta for WPM at 1.17 vs. AEM's 0.57), with valuations most sensitive for premium-priced streamers. Market sentiment leans positive across all, buoyed by gold's safe-haven appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AEM due to its trend consistency, lower relative valuation (P/E 18.19 vs. 40.30 for FNV and 35.09 for WPM), and strong production catalysts amid elevated gold prices. While WPM and FNV offer stability, AEM's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in a bullish metals environment, based on observable momentum and analyst consensus.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileFNV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and WPM’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FNV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FNV’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and WPM’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FNV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -10.42% price change this week, while FNV (@Precious Metals) price change was -5.18% , and WPM (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -12.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -12.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
FNV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-12.95% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | FNV | WPM | |
| Capitalization | 82.1B | 42.3B | 52.9B |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 1.45B | 2.4B |
| Gain YTD | -3.051 | 5.704 | -0.793 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.41 | 30.81 | 29.37 |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 1.55B | 2.75B |
| Total Cash | 2.32B | 788M | 999M |
| Total Debt | 319M | 82.6M | 7.91M |
AEM | FNV | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 26 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 39 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 60 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 48 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 89 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 9 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNV's Valuation (29) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (36) in the Precious Metals industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (92) in the null industry. This means that FNV's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (39) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as AEM (41) in the null industry. This means that WPM's stock grew similarly to FNV’s and similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's SMR Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (44) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as FNV (60) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (49) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as AEM (53) in the null industry. This means that FNV's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (88) in the null industry is in the same range as FNV (89) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as WPM (95) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM's stock grew similarly to FNV’s and similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | FNV | WPM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 46% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 78% | 9 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 70% | 23 days ago 61% | 19 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 70% |
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