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BA or LMT or RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boeing (BA) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. RTX (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LMT leads with approximately 38% YTD gains, driven by a record $194 billion backlog and strong defense demand from geopolitical tensions.
- RTX shows solid 14% YTD performance, supported by a massive $268 billion backlog and diversified exposure across defense and commercial aerospace.
- BA trails with around 5% YTD returns amid commercial recovery efforts, offset by defense contract wins like Apache helicopters despite quality challenges.
- All three benefit from rising global defense spending, but LMT and RTX exhibit superior momentum and stability compared to BA's volatility.
- Recent market activity highlights sector strength, with LMT and RTX outperforming broader indices amid heightened geopolitical risks.
Introduction
This comparison examines BA, LMT, and RTX, three leaders in the aerospace and defense sector. These stocks offer exposure to commercial aviation recovery and escalating global defense needs, influenced by geopolitical tensions and rising military budgets. Traders seeking momentum in defense plays and investors eyeing long-term stability in industrials will find value in analyzing their relative performance, backlogs, and market positioning. Recent weeks have underscored contrasts in execution and sentiment, aiding decisions on stock comparison and portfolio allocation.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
Boeing (BA), a premier manufacturer of commercial airplanes, defense systems, and space vehicles, has navigated recovery in recent market activity. Shares hover around $227, reflecting about 5% YTD gains but underperforming peers amid quality control issues and NASA Starliner scrutiny. Positive influences include a resurgence in commercial orders from Vietnamese airlines and a $166.84 million Navy contract for P-8A modernization, alongside a $4.7 billion Army Apache deal. Q4 2025 revenue grew 34.5% with improved margins to 4.79%, yet ongoing cash challenges and EPS estimate cuts have tempered sentiment. Defense contributions provide balance, though commercial execution risks persist.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT), the world's largest defense contractor, specializes in fighter jets like the F-35, missiles, and rotary systems. Trading near $664, shares have surged about 38% YTD, with 9% monthly gains fueled by a record $194 billion backlog and robust Q4 sales up 9.1% to $20.32 billion. Key drivers include F-35 production ramps, PAC-3 missile demand, and advancements in autonomous tech like the Lamprey vehicle. Geopolitical tensions have boosted sentiment, with contracts such as Trident II modifications extending work through 2030. Despite a premium valuation, steady earnings momentum and a 2% dividend yield underpin relative strength.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX), encompassing Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon, delivers missiles, radars, engines, and avionics. Shares at about $209 mark 14% YTD advances, backed by a $268 billion backlog and Q4 sales up 12.1% to $24.24 billion, beating estimates. Recent highlights feature Patriot system deals for Spain, Tamir missile production, and Coyote drone successes. Diversification across defense and commercial segments supports resilience, with raised 2026 guidance for 5-6% organic growth. Sentiment reflects geopolitical tailwinds, though higher P/E ratios signal valuation caution amid engine recovery efforts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BA, LMT, and RTX operate in aerospace and defense, but diverge in models: BA emphasizes commercial jets (two-thirds revenue) with defense as stabilizer; LMT is purely defense-focused on high-margin programs; RTX balances via missiles/engines. Growth drivers favor LMT/RTX's massive backlogs ($194B/$268B) versus BA's order rebound. Recent momentum crowns LMT (38% YTD) over RTX (14%) and BA (5%), reflecting defense purity amid tensions. Risks include BA's execution woes, LMT's program dependencies, and RTX's commercial exposure. Sector tailwinds like U.S. budget hikes boost all, but LMT/RTX show lower volatility. Valuations pin LMT/RTX at premiums (P/E 30+/40+), while BA trades cheaper yet riskier; sentiment tilts to defense stalwarts for stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT for its unmatched trend consistency, record backlog visibility, and superior relative YTD positioning amid defense demand surges. Observable catalysts like F-35 ramps and missile contracts, paired with lower beta, suggest higher probability of outperformance versus BA's volatility or RTX's premium valuation, though rotation risks persist.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and RTX’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BA’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and RTX’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BA (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.78% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.72% , and RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -4.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
BA is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-4.19% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BA | LMT | RTX | |
| Capitalization | 169B | 117B | 253B |
| EBITDA | 7.32B | 8.47B | 15.4B |
| Gain YTD | -1.119 | 6.150 | 3.272 |
| P/E Ratio | 87.28 | 23.90 | 34.11 |
| Revenue | 92.2B | 75.1B | 90.4B |
| Total Cash | 20.9B | 1.89B | 6.82B |
| Total Debt | 47.2B | 20.7B | 38.9B |
BA | LMT | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 51 | 15 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 17 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 59 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 35 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (50) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (57) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BA (94) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to LMT’s and somewhat faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LMT (51) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew somewhat faster than LMT’s and significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
BA's SMR Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that BA's stock grew similarly to LMT’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (49) in the null industry is in the same range as BA (52) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as LMT (59) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to BA’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (72) in the null industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to BA’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
| BA | LMT | RTX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 4 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 40% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 8 days ago 50% | 8 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 55% |
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BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with TXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then TXT could also see price increases.
LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.