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DUK or ED or FTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) vs. Fortis Inc. (FTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three stocks offer dividend yields around 3.2%, appealing for income-focused investors seeking stability in the utilities sector.
- FTS exhibits the strongest one-year return at nearly 20%, compared to DUK's 10% and ED's 1.4%.
- Recent one-month performance shows FTS gaining ground while DUK and ED experienced modest declines amid broader market activity.
- Year-to-date returns are closely matched, with ED slightly ahead at 12%, followed by FTS and DUK around 10-11%.
- Low betas (0.29-0.44) across the board highlight their defensive nature, with upcoming Q1 earnings reports influencing near-term sentiment.
- Trailing P/E ratios (P/E ratio, or price-to-earnings) are comparable at 19-23, reflecting steady valuations in regulated electric utilities.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines three leading regulated electric utility providers: DUK, ED, and FTS. As defensive plays in a volatile market, these companies deliver essential power and gas services, prioritizing reliable dividends and stable cash flows. Income-oriented investors, dividend aristocrats seekers, and those hedging against economic uncertainty may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and growth drivers. With recent sector tailwinds from data center demand and regulatory approvals, understanding their market positioning aids informed portfolio decisions.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, operates electric and gas utilities primarily in the U.S. Southeast and Midwest. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity from diverse sources including nuclear, renewables, and natural gas, while serving millions of customers. In recent market activity, the stock traded around $128.60, reflecting a slight pullback amid broader sector rotation, with year-to-date gains near 11% and one-year returns at 10%. Sentiment has been supported by regulatory progress on utility mergers promising long-term customer savings and anticipation of Q1 earnings on May 5, 2026. Analyst adjustments, such as Morgan Stanley's equal-weight maintenance with a modest target cut, underscore steady but cautious positioning influenced by grid investment plans and AI-driven power needs.
ED Overview and Recent Performance
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED), based in New York, provides electric, gas, and steam services mainly in New York City and Westchester County, serving over 3.7 million electric customers through extensive infrastructure. The stock hovered near $110.49 recently, down modestly in recent weeks, with year-to-date performance leading peers at 12% but lagging one-year at 1.4%. Key influences include its reputation as a reliable dividend payer and upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7, 2026, expected to show EPS growth. Mixed analyst views, with Bank of America lifting targets yet maintaining bearish stances, reflect valuation concerns balanced by defensive appeal amid low consumer sentiment.
FTS Overview and Recent Performance
Fortis Inc. (FTS), headquartered in St. John's, Canada, is a diversified utility serving electric and gas needs across Canada, the U.S., and the Caribbean, with operations in multiple regions including Arizona and British Columbia. Trading around $57.18, the stock has shown resilience with a one-year gain of nearly 20% and year-to-date up 11%, including positive one-month momentum. Recent sentiment benefits from analyst initiations like Barclays' overweight rating and price target hikes from CIBC, alongside Q1 earnings anticipation on May 6, 2026. Geographic diversity and expected earnings growth have bolstered relative strength in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate in regulated electric utilities, emphasizing stable revenues from essential services, but differ in scale and geography: DUK dominates U.S. Southeast with a $100B market cap, ED focuses on dense Northeast urban markets ($41B cap), and FTS offers North American diversification ($29B cap). Growth drivers include rate case approvals and renewables, with recent quarterly revenue growth at 8% for DUK and ED, versus 4% for FTS. Momentum favors FTS in longer terms, while risk profiles show high debt/equity (117-172%) offset by low betas and ROE (return on equity) around 8-10%. Valuation sensitivity is similar via P/E ratios, but FTS trades at a premium amid positive analyst sentiment; market positioning reflects trade-offs in U.S.-centric exposure versus international stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor FTS in the current environment, given its superior one-year momentum, recent price resilience, and analyst upgrades signaling stronger trend consistency and catalysts. While DUK and ED offer comparable stability, FTS's relative outperformance positions it probabilistically ahead for trend-following strategies, pending earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileED’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and FTS’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ED’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FTS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ED’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and FTS’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ED’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -0.80% price change this week, while ED (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.35% , and FTS (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated -0.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
ED is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
FTS is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+1.16% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | ED | FTS | |
| Capitalization | 97.5B | 40.1B | 28.9B |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 6.35B | 5.91B |
| Gain YTD | 8.527 | 11.278 | 9.164 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.00 | 18.03 | 23.41 |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 17.2B | 12.2B |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 147M | 359M |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 27.2B | 35.4B |
DUK | ED | FTS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 12 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 43 Fair valued | 42 Fair valued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 21 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 77 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 52 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 55 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ED's Valuation (42) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (43) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as FTS (52) in the null industry. This means that ED's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
ED's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (27) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FTS (61) in the null industry. This means that ED's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and somewhat faster than FTS’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as ED (77) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as FTS (79) in the null industry. This means that DUK's stock grew similarly to ED’s and similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as ED (52) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as DUK (53) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS's stock grew similarly to ED’s and similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as DUK (54) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as ED (55) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to ED’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | ED | FTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 71% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 33% | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 30% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 34% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 41% | 7 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 25% | 2 days ago 26% | 2 days ago 32% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
ED and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ED has been closely correlated with DUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ED jumps, then DUK could also see price increases.