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PAGP or TRGP or WMB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) vs. Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. The Williams Companies (WMB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), Targa Resources (TRGP), and The Williams Companies (WMB) are all midstream energy companies focused on pipelines, gathering, and processing infrastructure for oil and natural gas.
- In recent market activity, TRGP has demonstrated the strongest year-to-date and one-year total returns among the three, followed by PAGP, with WMB showing more moderate gains.
- PAGP recently completed a major divestiture of its Canadian natural gas liquids business, redirecting proceeds toward debt reduction and a sharpened focus on crude oil logistics.
- TRGP reported record first-quarter 2026 results and raised its full-year financial outlook, supported by volume growth and strategic acquisitions.
- WMB continues to benefit from expanding natural gas demand and pipeline projects, with analysts maintaining generally positive ratings ahead of its second-quarter earnings release.
- Relative positioning reflects differences in business mix, with PAGP leaning toward crude, TRGP balanced across natural gas liquids and gas, and WMB heavily weighted toward natural gas transmission.
Introduction
Midstream energy infrastructure companies provide essential transportation and processing services that connect producers to end markets, offering relatively stable cash flows compared with upstream exploration and production. Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), Targa Resources (TRGP), and The Williams Companies (WMB) represent three prominent players in this sector. This comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure to energy infrastructure amid fluctuating commodity prices and shifting demand patterns for oil and natural gas.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) operates as a master limited partnership focused on crude oil transportation, storage, and logistics primarily in North America. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range, reflecting investor response to the completed sale of its Canadian natural gas liquids business and an upward revision to full-year 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance. These developments have supported sentiment by simplifying the business model and improving the balance sheet through debt reduction. Broader market activity has been influenced by stable crude demand and analyst price target increases from several firms.
TRGP Overview and Recent Performance
Targa Resources (TRGP) engages in natural gas gathering, processing, and transportation, with significant exposure to natural gas liquids. Recent market activity has featured continued momentum following record first-quarter 2026 financial results and an increased 2026 financial outlook. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $1.25 per share in July. Performance has been supported by volume growth, prior acquisitions such as Stakeholder Midstream, and expectations ahead of the upcoming second-quarter earnings report. Overall sentiment remains constructive amid favorable natural gas liquids pricing dynamics.
WMB Overview and Recent Performance
The Williams Companies (WMB) focuses on natural gas pipelines, gathering, and processing, serving as a key transporter in major U.S. basins. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced some consolidation after earlier gains, with attention centered on upcoming second-quarter earnings and ongoing pipeline expansion projects tied to rising natural gas demand. Analyst commentary has remained largely favorable, with several firms raising price targets. Market positioning benefits from the company’s scale in transmission infrastructure, though near-term price action has been more tempered relative to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ in emphasis: PAGP centers on crude oil midstream assets, TRGP maintains balanced exposure across natural gas and natural gas liquids, and WMB is predominantly oriented toward natural gas transmission. Growth drivers reflect these focuses, with PAGP benefiting from crude optimization post-divestiture, TRGP from liquids and gas volume expansion, and WMB from pipeline capacity additions amid sustained natural gas demand. Recent momentum has favored TRGP and PAGP over WMB in total return terms. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity for all three, though leverage profiles and contract structures provide varying degrees of insulation. Valuation sensitivity appears higher for names with stronger recent run-ups, while market sentiment has been supported by sector-wide infrastructure tailwinds without clear favoritism in analyst coverage.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning within the midstream sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of outperformance to Targa Resources (TRGP) over the near term, followed closely by Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), with The Williams Companies (WMB) positioned more neutrally amid upcoming earnings and consolidation. This assessment draws from recent volume growth, outlook revisions, and return differentials rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAGP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTRGP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and WMB’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- PAGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TRGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAGP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRGP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMB’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TRGP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMB’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -6.04% price change this week, while TRGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -4.99% , and WMB (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price fluctuated -1.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -1.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
TRGP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
WMB is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-1.47% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| PAGP | TRGP | WMB | |
| Capitalization | 4.9B | 55.1B | 86.1B |
| EBITDA | 2.81B | 5.22B | 7.67B |
| Gain YTD | 36.336 | 41.280 | 18.832 |
| P/E Ratio | 29.81 | 24.56 | 28.05 |
| Revenue | 45.3B | 16.6B | 11.9B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 100M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 11.6B | 19.1B | 30.3B |
PAGP | TRGP | WMB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 78 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 31 Undervalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 16 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 46 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 48 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 17 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (8) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as WMB (23) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry, and is in the same range as TRGP (31) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP's stock grew similarly to WMB’s and similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
WMB's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (4) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry, and is in the same range as TRGP (8) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that WMB's stock grew similarly to PAGP’s and similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's SMR Rating (16) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as WMB (44) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PAGP (57) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP's stock grew similarly to WMB’s and somewhat faster than PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (46) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry, and is in the same range as WMB (53) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that PAGP's stock grew similarly to TRGP’s and similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (48) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry, and is in the same range as WMB (56) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that PAGP's stock grew similarly to TRGP’s and similarly to WMB’s over the last 12 months.
| PAGP | TRGP | WMB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 41% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 66% | 10 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 5 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 42% |
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | -2.52% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | -3.02% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | -4.24% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.72% | ||
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TRGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRGP has been closely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRGP jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRGP | 100% | -4.24% | ||
| OKE - TRGP | 72% Closely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| KMI - TRGP | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.37% | ||
| AM - TRGP | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.02% | ||
| WMB - TRGP | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.90% | ||
| DTM - TRGP | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
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WMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMB has been closely correlated with KMI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WMB jumps, then KMI could also see price increases.