American Express (AXP) Riding Trend Channel Higher
Over the last eight months, American Express (NYSE: AXP) has been trending higher with a trend channel defining the peaks and valleys. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and it looks like it is ready for another move to the upside in the coming weeks.
We see that in addition to the stock hitting the lower rail it was also oversold based on the 10-day RSI and the daily stochastic readings. The last time we saw both oscillators in oversold territory and the stock hit the lower rail of the channel was in late June.
The stock was trading around $96 at the time and it went on to rally to a high of $103.87 on July 27. That is a move of approximately 8% in just over a month.
In addition to the technical picture, American Express has great fundamentals. The company has a return on equity of 27.6%, a profit margin of 20.9%, and an operating margin of 24.7%. The company has also been able to grow its earnings at an average rate of 22% per year over the last three years.
American Express is set to release third quarter earnings results on Thursday, October 18 and analysts expect the company to earn $1.76 per share on revenue of $10.04 billion.
AXP sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
AXP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 13, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AXP moved out of overbought territory on November 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AXP as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where AXP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
AXP moved above its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXP advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AXP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 287 cases where AXP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AXP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.496) is normal, around the industry mean (12.250). P/E Ratio (23.700) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.543). AXP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.054) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.349). AXP has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (3.505) is also within normal values, averaging (128.616).
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General Information
a financial conglomerate
Industry SavingsBanks
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