Caterpillar Inc. reported its first quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of solid construction sales.
The construction equipment company’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending in March increased +48% from the year-ago quarter to $2.87 per share, well ahead of the Street consensus forecast of $1.94 per share.
Revenues climbed +12% year-over-year to $11.9 billion, which also exceeded analysts' estimates of $11.1 billion.
Construction sales rose +27% year-over-year to $5.46 billion in the quarter. Resource, energy and transportation sales increased +6.5% to $2.216 billion.
There was a -1% decrease in rolling three-month sales in North America. Nevertheless, Latin American sales for the rolling three-month period rose +54%, while world machines sales were up +13%.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CAT turned positive on September 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where CAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CAT as a result. In 52 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +2.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in 278 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 59 cases where CAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for CAT entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (19.417) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.725). P/E Ratio (35.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.938). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.432) is also within normal values, averaging (1.601). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. CAT's P/S Ratio (5.118) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.156).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines and industrial gas turbines
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery