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Jan 08, 2019

Union Pacific (UNP, $138.65) Climbs +8% ,After Company Chooses Railroad Veteran Jim Vena as COO

Union Pacific Corp.’s stock price jumped +8% in early trading on Tuesday, following the announcement of  Jim Vena as the new chief operating officer (COO) at the railroad company.

Railroad industry veteran Vena, 60, worked with the late Hunter Harrison  to implement Harrison’s designed “precision scheduling railroading” (PSR) strategy for improving several railroads.

Union Pacific connects 23 states in western United States. But the company has faced challenges with service problems and rail network congestion, thereby dimming its profitability outlook for 2019. Nevertheless, the company adopted the PSR plan on Oct. 1 to improve the situation and to boost profitability by 2020.

The appointment of Vena made several analysts more hopeful of Union Pacific’s ability to successfully implement the PSR strategy. This led to the analysts’ upgrades in stock recommendations and/or price targets for the railroad company.

Related Ticker: UNP

UNP in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025

The 10-day moving average for UNP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where UNP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UNP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UNP entered a downward trend on November 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UNP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 19, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP just turned positive on November 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (7.582) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.933). P/E Ratio (18.775) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.513) is also within normal values, averaging (8.642). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.397) is also within normal values, averaging (2.883).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 16.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 320 to 131.19B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 131.19B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 320.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. MTCPY experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while PNYG experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. UNP showed earnings on October 23, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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a provider of railroad and freight transportation services

Industry Railroads

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Industry
Railroads
Address
1400 Douglas Street
Phone
+1 402 544-5000
Employees
32973
Web
https://www.up.com
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