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ADSK vs HUBS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. HubSpot (HUBS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ADSK and HUBS have experienced notable price declines in recent market activity amid broader software sector pressures, with HUBS showing steeper year-to-date losses.
- ADSK enters its upcoming earnings report with analyst expectations for double-digit revenue and earnings-per-share growth, while HUBS recently delivered a revenue beat but saw shares fall post-release.
- Autodesk focuses on design and engineering software with subscription stability, whereas HubSpot emphasizes customer relationship management (CRM) and inbound marketing platforms with rapid AI integration.
- Market sentiment for both remains cautious due to valuation concerns and competitive dynamics, though long-term growth drivers in digital transformation persist for each.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs: ADSK offers potentially steadier momentum ahead of catalysts, while HUBS trades at lower levels despite strong fundamental execution.
Introduction
This comparison examines Autodesk (ADSK) and HubSpot (HUBS), two software companies operating in adjacent technology sectors. Autodesk provides design, engineering, and construction solutions, while HubSpot delivers CRM and marketing automation tools. The analysis targets investors and traders evaluating relative performance, business model resilience, and positioning within the current market environment characterized by elevated interest rates and selective technology spending. Readers seeking data-driven insights into sector exposure and recent momentum may find this overview useful for portfolio considerations.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk develops software for architecture, engineering, construction, and manufacturing industries, generating revenue primarily through subscriptions. In recent weeks, the stock has traded lower amid broader software sector volatility and competition, closing near $241 on May 22, 2026, after fluctuating between approximately $234 and $251 in the prior trading sessions. Shares remain well below the 52-week high of $329, reflecting a pullback of over 25% year-to-date in some measures. Sentiment has been influenced by anticipation surrounding the May 28 earnings report, with analysts projecting 16% revenue growth and 24% earnings-per-share expansion year-over-year. Recent analyst actions include maintained overweight ratings and reinstated buy coverage, citing artificial intelligence advantages, though valuation multiples continue to draw scrutiny.
HUBS Overview and Recent Performance
HubSpot offers a customer platform including marketing, sales, service, and operations hubs targeted at growing businesses. The stock has declined sharply in recent market activity, closing at approximately $202 on May 22, 2026, after posting a post-earnings drop following its May 7 report. Despite delivering record quarterly revenue of $881 million, up 23.4% year-over-year, and a non-GAAP earnings-per-share beat, shares fell more than 11% initially and have traded near multi-year lows. The company has highlighted strong artificial intelligence adoption in its offerings. Year-to-date performance shows losses exceeding 49%, with the stock down substantially from prior peaks despite consistent fundamental growth in recurring revenue streams.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk operates a subscription-heavy model centered on design and simulation tools with high switching costs and recurring revenue visibility, contrasting with HubSpot’s usage-based CRM platform that benefits from rapid customer acquisition but faces greater churn sensitivity. Growth drivers differ markedly: ADSK leverages infrastructure and manufacturing digitization alongside AI-enhanced features, while HUBS capitalizes on marketing automation and sales pipeline efficiency with embedded AI capabilities. Recent momentum favors ADSK slightly ahead of its earnings catalyst, whereas HUBS has absorbed a sharper post-report reaction despite beating estimates. Risk factors include elevated valuations for both amid macroeconomic uncertainty, with ADSK showing more stable sector exposure in cyclical industries and HUBS exhibiting higher beta to growth-oriented spending. Market sentiment reflects caution across software peers, positioning the stocks as contrasting plays on digital transformation resilience versus expansion velocity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency ahead of near-term catalysts, relative stability in subscription metrics, and positioning within design software demand, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to ADSK over HUBS. This assessment draws from recent price behavior and analyst coverage patterns rather than forward projections, acknowledging that market conditions can shift sentiment rapidly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a Buy and HUBS is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHUBS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HUBS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HUBS’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HUBS’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а +1.26% price change this week, while HUBS (@Packaged Software) price change was +5.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +0.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
HUBS is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (+0.01% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| ADSK | HUBS | ADSK / HUBS | |
| Capitalization | 41.4B | 9.49B | 436% |
| EBITDA | 2.33B | 267M | 872% |
| Gain YTD | -33.698 | -53.783 | 63% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.40 | 90.95 | 30% |
| Revenue | 7.51B | 3.3B | 228% |
| Total Cash | 2.92B | 1.69B | 173% |
| Total Debt | 2.72B | 247M | 1,103% |
ADSK | HUBS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 87 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 12 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADSK's Valuation (75) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as HUBS (77) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as HUBS (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (20) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for HUBS (86) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew significantly faster than HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's Price Growth Rating (65) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as HUBS (87) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as HUBS (97) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | HUBS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | N/A |
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HUBS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HUBS has been closely correlated with CRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HUBS jumps, then CRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HUBS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBS | 100% | +8.92% | ||
| CRM - HUBS | 79% Closely correlated | +5.45% | ||
| TEAM - HUBS | 72% Closely correlated | +5.44% | ||
| DOCU - HUBS | 70% Closely correlated | +6.48% | ||
| ASAN - HUBS | 69% Closely correlated | +9.08% | ||
| FRSH - HUBS | 67% Closely correlated | +7.42% | ||
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