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GRBK vs SKY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) vs. Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GRBK closed near $66.33 on May 22, 2026, with year-to-date returns of approximately 5.9% and a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around 9.8x.
- SKY closed at $71.00 on the same date, showing intraday volatility and a higher valuation multiple near 18.6x amid recent sector rotation.
- GRBK reported first-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $1.39 (beating estimates) with 908 home deliveries, while maintaining a focus on traditional site-built homes in key Sun Belt markets.
- SKY operates in factory-built housing, benefiting from cost-efficiency advantages but facing greater sensitivity to interest-rate and consumer financing conditions.
- Both stocks trade in the residential construction sector, yet GRBK exhibits tighter recent price ranges while SKY has posted sharper swings relative to the broader market.
- Market positioning favors GRBK on valuation metrics and earnings consistency over the past several weeks, with SKY offering higher-beta exposure to manufactured-housing demand.
Introduction
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) and Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) represent distinct segments of the U.S. residential housing market. GRBK focuses on traditional site-built homes and land development primarily in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. SKY manufactures factory-built and modular homes nationwide. Investors and traders seeking exposure to housing demand, interest-rate sensitivity, and relative valuation may find this comparison useful for assessing sector positioning and risk-adjusted opportunities in the current environment.
GRBK Overview and Recent Performance
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) is a diversified homebuilder and land developer with operations concentrated in high-growth Sun Belt markets. Recent market activity shows the stock trading around the $66 level after a year-to-date gain of roughly 5.9%. First-quarter 2026 results released in late April delivered earnings per share of $1.39, exceeding consensus estimates, supported by 908 home deliveries and a backlog of 649 units. Sentiment has been influenced by steady order trends and disciplined land positioning, contributing to relatively contained price volatility over recent weeks compared with broader housing peers.
SKY Overview and Recent Performance
Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY), formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, produces factory-built housing across North America. The stock has fluctuated near $71 recently, with intraday moves exceeding 6% on certain sessions amid shifting investor focus on affordable housing solutions. Valuation metrics reflect a trailing price-to-earnings ratio near 18.6x. Performance over the past month has featured both advances and pullbacks tied to macroeconomic data and sector rotation, with the 52-week range spanning approximately $59 to $99. Recent activity highlights ongoing sensitivity to financing conditions and consumer demand for modular options.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GRBK and SKY both operate within residential construction yet differ materially in business models. GRBK emphasizes land acquisition, development, and site-built homes in select regional markets, providing greater control over supply chains and margins. SKY leverages factory efficiencies for modular and manufactured homes, offering scalability but greater exposure to transportation costs and regulatory variables. Recent momentum favors GRBK on earnings delivery and valuation compression, while SKY exhibits higher beta to interest-rate and affordability themes. Risk factors include housing-cycle sensitivity for both, with GRBK carrying regional concentration and SKY facing broader competitive pressures in factory-built segments. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism on housing fundamentals, tempered by macroeconomic uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative valuation positioning over recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to GRBK versus SKY. Lower price-to-earnings multiples and more contained volatility contribute to this assessment, though outcomes remain dependent on broader economic catalysts and sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRBK is a StrongBuy and SKY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRBK’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSKY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GRBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SKY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRBK’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRBK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SKY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GRBK (@Homebuilding) experienced а +2.14% price change this week, while SKY (@Homebuilding) price change was +4.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRBK is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
SKY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-1.34% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| GRBK | SKY | GRBK / SKY | |
| Capitalization | 3.22B | 4.6B | 70% |
| EBITDA | 393M | 326M | 121% |
| Gain YTD | 17.459 | -3.018 | -579% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.84 | 22.39 | 48% |
| Revenue | 2.08B | 2.66B | 78% |
| Total Cash | 145M | 638M | 23% |
| Total Debt | 282M | 118M | 239% |
GRBK | SKY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GRBK's Valuation (52) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (58). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (55). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's SMR Rating (52) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (63). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
SKY's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (43). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (32). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
| GRBK | SKY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 76% | 16 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 9 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 69% |
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| HIGH | 21.78 | 0.07 | +0.32% |
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| State Street® Fixed Inc Sect RotationETF | |||
| MNRS | 48.41 | -0.20 | -0.40% |
| Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF | |||
| GCOW | 43.44 | -0.21 | -0.48% |
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| SPMC | 9.87 | -0.32 | -3.14% |
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GRBK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRBK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRBK | 100% | -1.35% | ||
| PHM - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| TMHC - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | +0.03% | ||
| MTH - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| KBH - GRBK | 85% Closely correlated | -3.10% | ||
| LEN - GRBK | 85% Closely correlated | -2.55% | ||
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SKY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKY has been closely correlated with CVCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKY jumps, then CVCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKY | 100% | -1.67% | ||
| CVCO - SKY | 80% Closely correlated | -2.40% | ||
| MTH - SKY | 68% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| TOL - SKY | 68% Closely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| MHO - SKY | 67% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| GRBK - SKY | 66% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
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