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GRBK vs SKY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Green Brick Partners (GRBK) vs. Champion Homes (SKY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GRBK is a Texas-focused homebuilder with industry-leading gross margins and unusually low leverage, while SKY is a factory-built housing manufacturer trading at a significantly richer earnings multiple.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, margin stability, and relative valuation, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward GRBK over SKY.
- GRBK has maintained resilience through an affordability downturn, while SKY faces near-term margin compression and softer order trends in select channels.
- Both names are tied to U.S. housing, but their exposures differ: conventional site-built homes versus affordable, off-site (factory-built) construction.
- For more detail on these tickers, explore the GRBK Major News and GRBK Today's Price Move pages, as well as the SKY Major News and SKY Today's Price Move pages.
- Discover how automated strategies are navigating this market by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to U.S. housing often compare builders across very different segments of the market. Green Brick Partners (GRBK) constructs conventional single-family homes in high-demand Sun Belt submarkets, while Champion Homes (SKY) — formerly Skyline Champion Corporation — manufactures factory-built and modular housing. This stock comparison is most relevant for traders and long-term investors assessing relative performance, market positioning, and risk in a housing environment shaped by affordability pressures and elevated interest rates. Examining these two businesses side by side highlights contrasting business models, growth drivers, and valuation profiles that can inform how capital is allocated within the sector.
GRBK Overview and Recent Performance
Green Brick Partners is a diversified homebuilding and land development company concentrated in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Its strategy centers on owning and self-developing land in infill and infill-adjacent communities, which management argues reduces exposure to rising finished-lot costs. In its most recent quarter, the company reported net income of roughly $59 million, or $1.35 per diluted share, alongside a homebuilding gross margin of 28.0% — a level management describes as industry-leading. Net new home orders and deliveries both rose about 3% year over year, even as incentives on new orders remained elevated. Balance-sheet strength is a defining feature: homebuilding debt-to-total capital stood at 13.1%, with net homebuilding debt-to-total capital near 9.6%, and book value per share increased 14% year over year. Recent market activity has seen the stock trade at a single-digit price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, reflecting investor caution about the broader housing cycle despite resilient demand.
SKY Overview and Recent Performance
Champion Homes produces and sells factory-built housing across the United States and Canada, offering manufactured and modular homes, accessory dwelling units (ADUs), and modular commercial structures. The company's affordable, off-site construction model positions it as an alternative for buyers priced out of traditional homes. In recent weeks, the stock has pulled back from earlier highs, with softer order trends and margin compression drawing investor attention. Its most recent quarterly earnings came in slightly below consensus, and management has continued a strategy of vertical integration through retail acquisitions, including a nine-store deal in the Southeastern U.S. The company carries a substantial net cash position and low debt, but trades at a notably higher P/E multiple than conventional homebuilders. A rebrand to Champion Homes has sharpened its identity around affordable factory-built housing at a time when policy support for manufactured housing has gained visibility.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge sharply across several dimensions. In terms of business model, GRBK relies on land ownership and self-development to protect margins, whereas SKY depends on manufacturing efficiency and retail distribution to scale. On growth drivers, GRBK's trajectory is tied to order growth and an expanding mortgage platform, while SKY's hinges on retail expansion, builder/developer adoption of off-site construction, and favorable housing policy. Recent momentum favors GRBK on consistency, as it sustained positive order and delivery growth; SKY has experienced a pullback and softer near-term trends despite longer-term strength. Risk factors differ as well: GRBK faces exposure to affordability and rising incentives, while SKY confronts material-cost pressure, tariff risk, and uneven dealer-channel demand. Most notably, valuation separates them — GRBK trades near 9–10x earnings, well below SKY's roughly 24–26x multiple — while both maintain low leverage relative to their industries.
Tickeron AI Verdict
On observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor GRBK over SKY. The preference reflects GRBK's combination of industry-leading gross margins, minimal net debt, a materially lower earnings multiple, and steadier operational momentum, even amid a challenging housing backdrop. SKY offers a differentiated, policy-supported growth story and a strong balance sheet, but its richer valuation, recent earnings softness, and near-term margin compression introduce greater uncertainty relative to its current price. This is a probabilistic assessment grounded in trend consistency, financial stability, and relative market positioning rather than a definitive prediction of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRBK is a Hold and SKY is a Buy.
GRBK in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026
GRBK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 28 of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 65 cases where GRBK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GRBK as a result. In 51 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
GRBK moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for GRBK moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GRBK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GRBK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GRBK just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where GRBK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 183 of 262 cases where GRBK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.446) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (9.733) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.110) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.421) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GRBK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for SKY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SKY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SKY just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where SKY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
SKY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SKY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +9.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SKY advanced for three days, in 214 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SKY moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SKY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
SKY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SKY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.155) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (26.493) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.777) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
GRBK | SKY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 54 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GRBK's Valuation (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (63). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (60). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (64). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
SKY's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (57). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
SKY's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (22). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
| GRBK | SKY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 10 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 6 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRBK’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SKY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GRBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SKY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRBK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRBK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SKY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GRBK (@Homebuilding) experienced а -5.85% price change this week, while SKY (@Homebuilding) price change was -3.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -6.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRBK is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
SKY is expected to report earnings on Feb 08, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-6.38% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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GRBK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRBK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRBK | 100% | -1.91% | ||
| MTH - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| PHM - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -0.84% | ||
| TOL - GRBK | 84% Closely correlated | -0.78% | ||
| KBH - GRBK | 83% Closely correlated | -0.85% | ||
| DHI - GRBK | 83% Closely correlated | -1.48% | ||
More | ||||
SKY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKY has been closely correlated with TOL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKY jumps, then TOL could also see price increases.
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