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HMY vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HMY and WPM both operate in the precious metals sector and have delivered strong gains amid elevated gold and silver prices in recent weeks.
- HMY, a primary gold producer with operations mainly in South Africa, has shown higher short-term volatility and momentum compared with WPM.
- WPM, a precious metals streaming company, reported record quarterly production, revenue, and cash flow in its most recent earnings release.
- HMY trades at a lower valuation multiple, offering potential value exposure to gold price movements, while WPM provides more predictable revenue streams with lower operational risk.
- Recent market activity reflects broad sector strength, with both stocks outperforming broader equity benchmarks over the past month.
- Relative positioning depends on investor preference for direct mining leverage versus lower-risk streaming economics.
Introduction
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) represent two distinct approaches within the precious metals industry. HMY is an established gold mining operator, while WPM focuses on streaming agreements that provide exposure without direct mining costs. This comparison is relevant for traders and investors seeking to evaluate performance, risk profiles, and positioning in a sector influenced by commodity prices and macroeconomic factors. Market participants monitoring gold and silver trends may find the relative strengths and trade-offs between these names useful for portfolio allocation decisions.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is a South Africa-based gold producer with additional interests in uranium. The company operates multiple underground mines and has expanded its portfolio through acquisitions. In recent market activity, HMY shares have risen sharply, with one-month returns exceeding 48 percent and year-to-date gains near 20 percent as of late August 2026. Price appreciation has been supported by higher gold prices and operational updates. Sentiment has improved on the back of strong sector momentum, although the stock has experienced notable daily swings typical of mining equities.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) is a leading precious metals streaming company headquartered in Canada. It provides upfront capital to mining partners in exchange for future production at predetermined prices. In recent market activity, WPM has posted robust gains, including a one-month advance of approximately 41 percent and year-to-date returns above 33 percent as of mid-to-late August 2026. The company released second-quarter 2026 results in early August that highlighted record production, revenue, earnings, and cash flow. Positive sentiment has been reinforced by these operational milestones and broader precious metals price strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HMY and WPM differ fundamentally in business model. HMY bears full operational, geological, and labor risks associated with mining, resulting in higher leverage to gold prices but also greater earnings volatility. WPM operates with lower capital intensity and more stable margins through streaming contracts. Recent momentum has favored both names, yet HMY has exhibited sharper percentage moves. Sector exposure is similar, though WPM diversifies across gold and silver streams. Market sentiment remains constructive for the group, with valuation differentials reflecting the operational contrast: HMY typically carries a lower price-to-earnings multiple than WPM.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the precious metals sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable risk-adjusted performance to WPM. The streaming model’s lower operational variability and recent record results provide a more consistent backdrop than direct mining exposure, though outcomes remain sensitive to commodity price movements and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HMY is a Hold and WPM is a Buy.
| HMY | WPM | HMY / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 12.8B | 70.2B | 18% |
| EBITDA | 31.8B | 2.78B | 1,143% |
| Gain YTD | 7.835 | 31.722 | 25% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.15 | 34.19 | 21% |
| Revenue | 81.2B | 3.17B | 2,560% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 100M | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 1.98B | - |
HMY | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HMY's Valuation (10) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WPM (56). This means that HMY’s stock grew somewhat faster than WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (35). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (41). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (38). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (89). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| HMY | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 11 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 1 day ago 80% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HMY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while WPM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HMY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HMY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HMY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HMY (@Precious Metals) experienced а +1.83% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -0.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -3.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
HMY is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-3.23% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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HMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMY has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMY jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.