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IBKR vs NDAQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) vs. Nasdaq (NDAQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IBKR has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date returns than NDAQ, driven by elevated trading volumes and account growth.
- NDAQ maintains a diversified business model centered on exchange operations, data services, and listings, offering greater stability but slower recent momentum.
- Both companies operate in the financial markets infrastructure space, with IBKR focused on brokerage services and NDAQ on market operations and technology.
- Recent analyst activity shows multiple upward price target revisions for IBKR, while NDAQ has seen mixed adjustments amid upcoming earnings.
- IBKR benefits from expanding offerings in areas such as cryptocurrency and prediction markets, supporting volume growth in recent weeks.
- Relative performance highlights a trade-off between IBKR’s growth-oriented brokerage model and NDAQ’s more defensive exchange and data revenue streams.
Introduction
This comparison examines IBKR and NDAQ, two established players in the financial markets ecosystem. Interactive Brokers Group provides brokerage and trading services to active investors and institutions, while Nasdaq operates global exchanges, supplies market data, and supports listings. The analysis focuses on recent performance trends, business models, and market positioning to assist experienced traders evaluating relative momentum and institutional investors seeking sector exposure within financial infrastructure.
IBKR Overview and Recent Performance
Interactive Brokers Group operates a global brokerage platform serving retail and institutional clients with access to stocks, options, futures, and other instruments across multiple markets. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience amid broader market volatility, closing near $90.53 on July 17, 2026. Year-to-date returns reached approximately 41%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500. Key influences include sustained growth in daily average revenue trades and account additions, alongside expansions into cryptocurrency trading and prediction markets. Analyst sentiment has remained constructive, with several firms raising price targets during the period. Upcoming second-quarter results, scheduled for July 21, represent a near-term catalyst that could further shape sentiment around volume trends and net interest income.
NDAQ Overview and Recent Performance
Nasdaq, Inc. runs one of the world’s largest stock exchanges and generates revenue through trading services, market data subscriptions, and technology solutions for issuers and participants. The stock traded around $91.64 on July 17, 2026, reflecting modest year-to-date performance near flat to slightly negative territory relative to broader benchmarks. Recent activity has been shaped by new listings activity, including high-profile debuts, and preparations for the second-quarter earnings call on July 23. Trading volumes and index-related products have provided support, though overall price momentum has lagged peers in the sector. Market data and technology segments continue to contribute steady recurring revenue, helping buffer the company against short-term fluctuations in trading activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IBKR and NDAQ both benefit from secular growth in electronic trading and market participation, yet their business models differ markedly. IBKR derives the majority of revenue from commissions, interest on margin balances, and payment for order flow, making it highly sensitive to trading volumes and interest-rate environments. NDAQ emphasizes recurring revenue from data feeds, listings fees, and index licensing, which tends to provide greater earnings visibility. In recent market activity, IBKR has exhibited stronger price momentum tied to volume surges, while NDAQ has maintained steadier but lower-beta behavior. Risk factors for IBKR include regulatory scrutiny of brokerage practices and interest-rate sensitivity, whereas NDAQ faces competition in exchange services and potential shifts in listing activity. Sector exposure overlaps in financial technology, but IBKR offers more direct leverage to retail and institutional trading enthusiasm.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, volume-related catalysts, and relative price momentum in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of continued outperformance to IBKR over NDAQ. Factors supporting this assessment include sustained brokerage metric growth and multiple analyst upgrades. NDAQ presents a more defensive profile with stable recurring revenue but has shown comparatively muted momentum. This view reflects probabilistic weighting of recent data rather than a guarantee of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IBKR is a StrongBuy and NDAQ is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IBKR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNDAQ’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- IBKR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NDAQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IBKR’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NDAQ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IBKR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NDAQ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
IBKR (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а +1.34% price change this week, while NDAQ (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +0.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -0.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.32%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -0.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
IBKR is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
NDAQ is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-0.92% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Financial Publishing/Services (-0.86% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| IBKR | NDAQ | IBKR / NDAQ | |
| Capitalization | 40.9B | 51.5B | 79% |
| EBITDA | 9.42B | 3.32B | 284% |
| Gain YTD | 42.950 | -4.548 | -944% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.40 | 26.85 | 136% |
| Revenue | 10.6B | 8.3B | 128% |
| Total Cash | 5.09B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 12M | 9.45B | 0% |
IBKR | NDAQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NDAQ's Valuation (73) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as IBKR (93). This means that NDAQ’s stock grew similarly to IBKR’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as NDAQ (32). This means that IBKR’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's SMR Rating (45) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as NDAQ (53). This means that IBKR’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as NDAQ (48). This means that IBKR’s stock grew similarly to NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
IBKR's P/E Growth Rating (41) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NDAQ (76). This means that IBKR’s stock grew somewhat faster than NDAQ’s over the last 12 months.
| IBKR | NDAQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 79% | 12 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 50% |
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NDAQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NDAQ has been closely correlated with JEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NDAQ jumps, then JEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NDAQ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDAQ | 100% | +1.85% | ||
| JEF - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| MS - NDAQ | 71% Closely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| GS - NDAQ | 70% Closely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| RJF - NDAQ | 69% Closely correlated | +1.90% | ||
| SPGI - NDAQ | 68% Closely correlated | +1.52% | ||
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