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IR or PH or SWK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. Parker Hannifin (PH) vs. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Three distinct industrial profiles: IR is a diversified flow-creation and life-sciences supplier, PH spans motion/control technologies and aerospace, and SWK leads in tools and outdoor products.
- Momentum diverges: PH has delivered the strongest recent operating momentum and record backlog, while IR is navigating margin pressure and SWK is executing a margin-recovery turnaround.
- Valuation contrast is wide: SWK trades at a low-teens forward price-to-earnings multiple, versus premium multiples for IR and PH.
- Growth catalysts differ: PH benefits from aerospace and electrification; IR from recurring aftermarket and acquisitions; SWK from cost savings, tariff refunds, and a completed divestiture.
- Risk profiles vary: IR faces short-cycle industrial softness, PH carries acquisition-integration risk, and SWK is exposed to consumer retail demand and tariff policy.
Introduction
Ingersoll Rand, Parker Hannifin, and Stanley Black & Decker are three widely followed industrial names that appeal to different kinds of investors, yet they are frequently compared because they all sit within the broad machinery and capital-goods universe. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing quality growth against value, recurring revenue against cyclical demand, and margin durability against turnarounds. In recent weeks, the three have shown notably different trajectories: one posting record results and backlog, one defending margins amid uneven demand, and one accelerating a cost-driven earnings recovery. Understanding their relative performance and market positioning can help traders and long-term investors decide where each name fits within a diversified portfolio.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
IR, or Ingersoll Rand Inc., supplies mission-critical flow-creation equipment — including compressors, pumps, vacuum systems, and blowers — alongside life-sciences and precision technologies across more than 80 brands. Recent market activity has been mixed. The company posted revenue growth in recent quarters, supported by acquisitions and a recurring aftermarket that now represents roughly 35–40% of sales, but organic order growth has been modest and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margin has compressed as pricing pressure, particularly in China, and higher investment costs weighed on profitability. Shares have been choppy, with a modest year-to-date gain against a somewhat softer one-year return, reflecting investor focus on whether the margin squeeze is temporary. Analysts generally view the stock as holding a premium multiple, so sentiment remains sensitive to any sign that organic demand or margin recovery is lagging expectations.
PH Overview and Recent Performance
PH, or Parker Hannifin Corporation, is a Fortune 250 leader in motion and control technologies, operating through Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems segments. Recent performance has been the strongest of the three. In its most recently completed fiscal year, Parker posted record sales, a record adjusted segment operating margin, record operating cash flow, and a record backlog, with aerospace delivering another year of double-digit organic growth. The company raised its long-term margin target and announced sizable acquisitions — including Filtration Group and CIRCOR's commercial aerospace and defense business — expanding its aftermarket and electrification capabilities. The stock has risen sharply over the past 12 months and trades at a premium forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, reflecting strong execution but also heightened expectations. Key risks include integration of pending deals and uneven industrial end-market demand, particularly in automotive and parts of Europe.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
SWK, or Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., is a global tools and outdoor products leader behind brands such as DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN, with a smaller Engineered Fastening business. The company is further along in a multi-year turnaround. Recent quarters showed a sharp gross-margin expansion, aided by productivity initiatives and one-time tariff refunds, while a completed divestiture of its aerospace fastening (CAM) business reduced debt and funded share repurchases. Net sales have been roughly flat, but management raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and free-cash-flow guidance, signaling improving profitability. The stock trades at a notably lower forward P/E than its peers and carries an attractive dividend, reflecting both a value profile and lingering caution around consumer demand, retail-channel concentration, and the durability of tariff-related benefits.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The three companies compete for investor capital but operate with different business models and risk-return profiles. PH has the most diversified end-market mix and the strongest cyclical momentum, anchored by aerospace backlog and an expanding aftermarket; its trade-off is a premium valuation and near-term integration work from large acquisitions. IR sits between growth and quality, with a high-margin aftermarket model and a science-and-specialty tilt, but it currently faces margin compression and softer organic orders that make its premium multiple harder to justify in the near term. SWK offers the clearest value and self-help story — cost reductions, debt paydown, and margin recovery — yet its tools-and-outdoor exposure ties it more closely to housing and consumer discretionary demand, and some recent earnings benefit stemmed from non-recurring tariff refunds rather than core volume growth. On valuation sensitivity, SWK's low multiple provides more downside cushion, while IR and PH are more exposed to multiple compression if sentiment cools.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would most likely favor PH among these three. Parker Hannifin has combined sustained organic growth, record backlog, expanding margins, and a rising earnings trajectory — characteristics that algorithmic models typically reward for trend strength and persistence. IR would likely rank second, given its stable recurring-revenue profile but softer near-term momentum and margin pressure. SWK, while improving, shows a less consistent earnings trend and greater dependence on consumer-cycle and one-off factors, making it comparatively less favored on a pure trend basis. This assessment reflects probabilistic, model-based reasoning rather than a definitive forecast, and relative rankings can shift as new data arrives.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
IR | PH | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 25 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 80 Overvalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 5 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 38 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 65 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 22 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 13 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (5) in the Tools And Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (65) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for PH (80) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK's stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s and significantly faster than PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (58) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH's stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s and significantly faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (73) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SWK (79) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH's stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s and somewhat faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as IR (54) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is in the same range as PH (65) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK's stock grew similarly to IR’s and similarly to PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as SWK (46) in the Tools And Hardware industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for IR (91) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that PH's stock grew similarly to SWK’s and significantly faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | PH | SWK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 71% | 6 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 59% | 22 days ago 46% | 14 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SWK’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SWK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SWK’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SWK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +3.57% price change this week, while PH (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +1.50% , and SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price fluctuated +1.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +2.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
PH is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.07% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+2.50% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
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IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.
PH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PH has been closely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PH jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
SWK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with NDSN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then NDSN could also see price increases.