Ingersoll Rand, Parker Hannifin, and Stanley Black & Decker are three widely followed industrial names that appeal to different kinds of investors, yet they are frequently compared because they all sit within the broad machinery and capital-goods universe. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing quality growth against value, recurring revenue against cyclical demand, and margin durability against turnarounds. In recent weeks, the three have shown notably different trajectories: one posting record results and backlog, one defending margins amid uneven demand, and one accelerating a cost-driven earnings recovery. Understanding their relative performance and market positioning can help traders and long-term investors decide where each name fits within a diversified portfolio.
IR, or Ingersoll Rand Inc., supplies mission-critical flow-creation equipment — including compressors, pumps, vacuum systems, and blowers — alongside life-sciences and precision technologies across more than 80 brands. Recent market activity has been mixed. The company posted revenue growth in recent quarters, supported by acquisitions and a recurring aftermarket that now represents roughly 35–40% of sales, but organic order growth has been modest and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margin has compressed as pricing pressure, particularly in China, and higher investment costs weighed on profitability. Shares have been choppy, with a modest year-to-date gain against a somewhat softer one-year return, reflecting investor focus on whether the margin squeeze is temporary. Analysts generally view the stock as holding a premium multiple, so sentiment remains sensitive to any sign that organic demand or margin recovery is lagging expectations.
PH, or Parker Hannifin Corporation, is a Fortune 250 leader in motion and control technologies, operating through Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems segments. Recent performance has been the strongest of the three. In its most recently completed fiscal year, Parker posted record sales, a record adjusted segment operating margin, record operating cash flow, and a record backlog, with aerospace delivering another year of double-digit organic growth. The company raised its long-term margin target and announced sizable acquisitions — including Filtration Group and CIRCOR's commercial aerospace and defense business — expanding its aftermarket and electrification capabilities. The stock has risen sharply over the past 12 months and trades at a premium forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, reflecting strong execution but also heightened expectations. Key risks include integration of pending deals and uneven industrial end-market demand, particularly in automotive and parts of Europe.
SWK, or Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., is a global tools and outdoor products leader behind brands such as DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN, with a smaller Engineered Fastening business. The company is further along in a multi-year turnaround. Recent quarters showed a sharp gross-margin expansion, aided by productivity initiatives and one-time tariff refunds, while a completed divestiture of its aerospace fastening (CAM) business reduced debt and funded share repurchases. Net sales have been roughly flat, but management raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and free-cash-flow guidance, signaling improving profitability. The stock trades at a notably lower forward P/E than its peers and carries an attractive dividend, reflecting both a value profile and lingering caution around consumer demand, retail-channel concentration, and the durability of tariff-related benefits.
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The three companies compete for investor capital but operate with different business models and risk-return profiles. PH has the most diversified end-market mix and the strongest cyclical momentum, anchored by aerospace backlog and an expanding aftermarket; its trade-off is a premium valuation and near-term integration work from large acquisitions. IR sits between growth and quality, with a high-margin aftermarket model and a science-and-specialty tilt, but it currently faces margin compression and softer organic orders that make its premium multiple harder to justify in the near term. SWK offers the clearest value and self-help story — cost reductions, debt paydown, and margin recovery — yet its tools-and-outdoor exposure ties it more closely to housing and consumer discretionary demand, and some recent earnings benefit stemmed from non-recurring tariff refunds rather than core volume growth. On valuation sensitivity, SWK's low multiple provides more downside cushion, while IR and PH are more exposed to multiple compression if sentiment cools.
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would most likely favor PH among these three. Parker Hannifin has combined sustained organic growth, record backlog, expanding margins, and a rising earnings trajectory — characteristics that algorithmic models typically reward for trend strength and persistence. IR would likely rank second, given its stable recurring-revenue profile but softer near-term momentum and margin pressure. SWK, while improving, shows a less consistent earnings trend and greater dependence on consumer-cycle and one-off factors, making it comparatively less favored on a pure trend basis. This assessment reflects probabilistic, model-based reasoning rather than a definitive forecast, and relative rankings can shift as new data arrives.
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The RSI Indicator for IR moved out of oversold territory on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 35 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for IR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IR advanced for three days, in 210 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
IR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 179 of 269 cases where IR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IR as a result. In 45 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IR turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.
IR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.801) is normal, around the industry mean (4.140). P/E Ratio (30.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.318). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.619) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.547) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +0.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PH advanced for three days, in 241 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
PH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 226 of 321 cases where PH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PH as a result. In 43 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PH turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.209) is normal, around the industry mean (4.140). P/E Ratio (30.480) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.318). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.247) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.473) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
SWK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 96 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 70 of the 96 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SWK just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where SWK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
SWK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SWK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +3.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWK advanced for three days, in 192 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
SWK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SWK entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. SWK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.673) is normal, around the industry mean (3.109). P/E Ratio (24.146) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.821). SWK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.170) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.020). SWK has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.034) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (0.886) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.
IR | PH | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 21 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 88 Overvalued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 8 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 38 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 58 | 14 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 26 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (53) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as IR (63) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PH (88) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK's stock grew similarly to IR’s and somewhat faster than PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (65) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH's stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s and significantly faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (73) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SWK (79) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that PH's stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s and somewhat faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (14) in the Tools And Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PH (58) in the Industrial Machinery industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (59) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that SWK's stock grew somewhat faster than PH’s and somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
PH's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as SWK (28) in the Tools And Hardware industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (89) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that PH's stock grew similarly to SWK’s and somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | PH | SWK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 48% | 6 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SWK’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SWK’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -5.53% price change this week, while PH (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -8.59% , and SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price fluctuated +7.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -5.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -2.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.98%.
IR is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PH is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-2.00% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PH has been closely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PH jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with NDSN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then NDSN could also see price increases.