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Apr 08, 2021
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Constellation Brands (STZ, $223.46) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Constellation Brands (STZ, $223.46) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Beverage company Constellation Brands  posted  fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of  beer sales strength and demand for high-end beverages.

The  company’s diluted net earnings for the three months ending in February fell -5.3% from the year-ago quarter to $1.95 per share. Adjusted per-share earnings came in at $1.82, well above FactSet consensus of $1.58. 

Revenues increased +3% year-over-year to $1.953 billion, compared to analysts' estimates of $1.9 billion tally.  The company’s beer business was bolstered by a strong performance at off-premise channels, which more than offset weakness in on-premise channels with many bars and restaurants operating at limited capacity during the pandemic. Modelo Especial was number 1 import share gainer. Its wine and spirits business, high-end wine brands were driven by double-digit growth for Kim Crawford, Meiomi and The Prisoner Brand family.

Looking ahead, the company is projecting EPS to range from $6.90 to $7.20 and adjusted EPS excluding Canopy to range from $9.95 to $10.25 for fiscal 2022. The current FactSet consensus expectation for EPS is $10.43.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: STZ

Momentum Indicator for STZ turns positive, indicating new upward trend

STZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 50 of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 53%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for STZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 40%.

Following a +8.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in 152 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 82 of 214 cases where STZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 38%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for STZ moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: STZ's P/B Ratio (2.937) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.331). P/E Ratio (13.495) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.154). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.436) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.366) is also within normal values, averaging (1.539).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 41.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 128.95K to 165.33B. BUD holds the highest valuation in this group at 165.33B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 128.95K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. SAM experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while TAP experienced the biggest fall at 1%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 82
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
50 East Broad Street
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
9400
Web
https://www.cbrands.com
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