GRBK
Price
$80.11
Change
-$3.00 (-3.61%)
Updated
Sep 20 closing price
38 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$150.44
Change
-$2.68 (-1.75%)
Updated
Sep 20 closing price
73 days until earnings call
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GRBK vs TOL

Header iconGRBK vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts GRBK vs TOLBanner chart's image
Green Brick Partners
Price$80.11
Change-$3.00 (-3.61%)
Volume$1.61M
CapitalizationN/A
Toll Brothers
Price$150.44
Change-$2.68 (-1.75%)
Volume$5M
CapitalizationN/A
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GRBK vs TOL Comparison Chart
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GRBK
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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VS
GRBK vs. TOL commentary
Sep 21, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRBK is a Sell and TOL is a StrongSell.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Sep 21, 2024
Stock price -- (GRBK: $80.11 vs. TOL: $150.44)
Brand notoriety: GRBK and TOL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GRBK: 371% vs. TOL: 330%
Market capitalization -- GRBK: $2.71B vs. TOL: $13.34B
GRBK [@Homebuilding] is valued at $2.71B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.34B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $53.71B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $7.73B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

GRBK’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • GRBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the long-term than GRBK.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

GRBK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • GRBK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, both GRBK and TOL are a good buy in the short-term.

Price Growth

GRBK (@Homebuilding) experienced а +1.69% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was +0.43% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.60%.

Reported Earning Dates

GRBK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2024.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2024.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (-1.13% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TOL($13.3B) has a higher market cap than GRBK($2.71B). TOL (9.92) and GRBK (9.82) have similar P/E ratio . GRBK YTD gains are higher at: 54.236 vs. TOL (47.226). TOL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 1.89B vs. GRBK (359M). TOL has more cash in the bank: 755M vs. GRBK (180M). GRBK has less debt than TOL: GRBK (355M) vs TOL (2.85B). TOL has higher revenues than GRBK: TOL (10.2B) vs GRBK (1.78B).
GRBKTOLGRBK / TOL
Capitalization2.71B13.3B20%
EBITDA359M1.89B19%
Gain YTD54.23647.226115%
P/E Ratio9.829.9299%
Revenue1.78B10.2B17%
Total Cash180M755M24%
Total Debt355M2.85B12%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
GRBK vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
GRBK
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
1120
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
67
Overvalued
47
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
44
SMR RATING
1..100
3841
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
3637
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
2313
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/an/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TOL's Valuation (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (67). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (4). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.

GRBK's SMR Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (41). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

GRBK's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (37). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (23). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GRBKTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
54%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
64%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
73%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 13 days ago
65%
Bearish Trend 25 days ago
58%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
53%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
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GRBK
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
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GRBK and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with TPH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then TPH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GRBK
1D Price
Change %
GRBK100%
-3.61%
TPH - GRBK
86%
Closely correlated
-2.78%
TMHC - GRBK
82%
Closely correlated
-2.77%
KBH - GRBK
82%
Closely correlated
-2.68%
PHM - GRBK
80%
Closely correlated
-2.15%
TOL - GRBK
80%
Closely correlated
-1.75%
More

TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-1.75%
PHM - TOL
93%
Closely correlated
-2.15%
TMHC - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-2.77%
LEN - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-5.33%
KBH - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-2.68%
TPH - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
-2.78%
More