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CGAU or NEM or WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centerra Gold (CGAU) vs. Newmont (NEM) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CGAU has delivered the strongest year-to-date performance among the three, supported by operational assets in gold and copper.
- NEM offers the largest scale as a major gold producer with diversified global operations and consistent dividend history.
- WPM provides lower-risk exposure through its precious metals streaming model, often showing resilience in volatile metal price environments.
- Recent market activity reflects sector-wide strength in gold-related equities amid broader commodity trends, with varying degrees of momentum across the trio.
- Valuation metrics differ notably, with CGAU trading at lower multiples relative to earnings compared to the higher-valuation streamer WPM.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between production leverage, asset diversity, and business model stability.
Introduction
Centerra Gold (CGAU), Newmont (NEM), and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) represent distinct segments of the precious metals sector. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business models, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure to gold and related metals. The analysis targets those seeking objective insights into relative performance within the materials sector during periods of fluctuating commodity prices and macroeconomic conditions.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. operates gold and copper mines primarily in North America and internationally, with key assets including the Mount Milligan mine in Canada and the Öksüt mine in Türkiye. In recent weeks, CGAU shares have reflected strength tied to production levels and metal price movements, contributing to notable year-to-date gains. Sentiment has been influenced by operational updates and broader sector momentum in gold equities, with the stock demonstrating volatility consistent with mid-tier producers.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold producer, with operations spanning multiple continents and additional exposure to copper and other metals. Recent market activity for NEM has shown steady participation in sector advances, supported by its scale and diversified asset base. Performance in recent weeks aligns with industry trends, with attention on production guidance and cost management amid elevated gold prices.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. functions as a precious metals streaming company, providing capital to miners in exchange for future production at predetermined prices. WPM has exhibited resilience in recent market activity, benefiting from its lower operational risk profile compared to traditional miners. Stock behavior has tracked precious metals prices while offering leverage with reduced direct mining exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ fundamentally: CGAU and NEM engage in direct mining with operational leverage to metal prices and cost structures, while WPM uses a streaming approach that emphasizes contractual margins with lower capital intensity. Growth drivers for the miners center on production expansion and reserve development, whereas WPM benefits from new streaming agreements. Recent momentum has favored CGAU on a year-to-date basis relative to the others. Risk factors include geopolitical exposure for CGAU, scale-related execution for NEM, and dependency on partner mine performance for WPM. Sector exposure remains concentrated in precious metals for all three, though valuation sensitivity varies, with WPM typically commanding premium multiples. Market sentiment reflects shared tailwinds from gold prices alongside individual company-specific catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic preference toward WPM for its stability characteristics within the group, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing commodity dynamics and individual catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
CGAU | NEM | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 68 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 23 Undervalued | 76 Overvalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 35 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 38 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 45 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 43 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (23) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (47) in the Precious Metals industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (76) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (31) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as NEM (35) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU's stock grew similarly to WPM’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as NEM (38) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as WPM (41) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as NEM (45) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as WPM (47) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WPM (93) in the Precious Metals industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CGAU (99) in the null industry. This means that NEM's stock grew somewhat faster than WPM’s and somewhat faster than CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | NEM | WPM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 6 days ago 59% | 6 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% | 29 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WPM’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WPM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -1.50% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -0.60% , and WPM (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated +1.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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CGAU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CGAU has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CGAU jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CGAU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGAU | 100% | +0.60% | ||
| AEM - CGAU | 89% Closely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| IAG - CGAU | 89% Closely correlated | +0.60% | ||
| WPM - CGAU | 88% Closely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| KGC - CGAU | 87% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| NEM - CGAU | 86% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
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