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MTSI or MXL or SMTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. MaxLinear (MXL) vs. Semtech (SMTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three stocks — MTSI, MXL, and SMTC — have delivered substantial gains over the past year, driven by demand in analog semiconductors and AI-related applications.
- MXL has shown the strongest year-to-date and trailing twelve-month performance among the trio, with notable acceleration in recent weeks tied to data center momentum.
- MTSI maintains the largest market capitalization and has posted consistent revenue growth, supported by exposure to wireless, defense, and data center markets.
- SMTC has recorded sharp recent price advances alongside elevated volatility, reflecting its positioning in connectivity and Internet of Things (IoT) solutions.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale, growth rates, and sector-specific catalysts across the three companies in the current semiconductor environment.
Introduction
Investors and traders frequently compare MTSI, MXL, and SMTC because these companies operate in overlapping segments of the analog and mixed-signal semiconductor industry. Each participates in end markets including data communications, wireless infrastructure, and industrial applications, where artificial intelligence infrastructure spending has influenced sentiment. This comparison is relevant for market participants seeking to assess relative performance, business model differences, and positioning amid broader technology sector dynamics.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs and supplies analog semiconductor solutions for radio frequency (RF), microwave, and lightwave applications. Its products serve carrier infrastructure, industrial and defense, and data center markets. In recent market activity, MTSI shares have advanced alongside broader semiconductor strength, with notable gains over the past month and year. Performance has been supported by revenue expansion and exposure to high-growth areas such as 5G infrastructure and optical networking. Market participants have noted steady demand trends in the company’s core segments during recent weeks.
MXL Overview and Recent Performance
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) develops integrated circuits for broadband, infrastructure, and industrial markets, with increasing emphasis on data center and connectivity solutions. The stock has exhibited pronounced upward movement in recent market activity, including outsized gains over the past month. Recent quarterly results highlighted revenue growth and positive commentary around AI-related demand, contributing to sentiment. MXL has outperformed peers on a year-to-date and trailing twelve-month basis amid these developments.
SMTC Overview and Recent Performance
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) provides semiconductor solutions focused on signal integrity, power management, and wireless connectivity, serving communications, industrial, and consumer markets. In recent weeks, SMTC shares have posted strong advances, reflecting renewed interest in its portfolio. Performance has been influenced by sector-wide optimism around connectivity and IoT applications, with the stock showing elevated volatility compared with larger peers during the period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI offers greater scale and diversification across defense and infrastructure end markets, while MXL and SMTC present more concentrated exposure to data center and connectivity themes. Recent momentum has favored MXL on a relative basis, though all three have benefited from AI-related spending. Valuation sensitivity varies, with higher multiples observed across the group amid growth expectations. Risk factors include cyclical semiconductor demand, supply chain dynamics, and competition in analog segments. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector, with trade-offs centered on company size, earnings visibility, and specific product cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings momentum, and positioning within AI-adjacent markets, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a relatively higher probability of continued outperformance to MXL in the near term. This assessment reflects its recent acceleration and sector tailwinds, though outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and company-specific execution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMXL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and SMTC’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MXL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SMTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MXL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SMTC’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MXL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SMTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -0.31% price change this week, while MXL (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.43% , and SMTC (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +2.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -10.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was +84.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MXL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SMTC is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-10.23% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | MXL | SMTC | |
| Capitalization | 29.8B | 8.46B | 15.1B |
| EBITDA | 276M | -57.01M | 32M |
| Gain YTD | 127.808 | 441.997 | 120.206 |
| P/E Ratio | 168.62 | N/A | 130.81 |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 509M | 1.09B |
| Total Cash | 665M | 61.1M | 163M |
| Total Debt | 377M | 151M | 492M |
MTSI | MXL | SMTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 78 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 68 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 55 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 98 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 34 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 54 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MXL's Valuation (68) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (84) and is in the same range as SMTC (86). This means that MXL's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to SMTC’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMTC (40) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MXL (55). This means that MTSI's stock grew somewhat faster than SMTC’s and somewhat faster than MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (62) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (94) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MXL (98). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and somewhat faster than MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (35) and is in the same range as MTSI (36). This means that MXL's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SMTC (24) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MXL (54). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to SMTC’s and somewhat faster than MXL’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | MXL | SMTC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | N/A | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 79% | 5 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 85% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +4.59% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +7.62% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +7.21% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +6.14% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +13.42% | ||
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MXL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MXL has been loosely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MXL jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MXL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | 100% | +11.15% | ||
| MCHP - MXL | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| AMKR - MXL | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| KLAC - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | +7.62% | ||
| SYNA - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| CEVA - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
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SMTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been loosely correlated with MXL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MXL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | 100% | +2.39% | ||
| MXL - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | +11.15% | ||
| MTSI - SMTC | 62% Loosely correlated | +4.59% | ||
| MPWR - SMTC | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| TSEM - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.90% | ||
| AMBA - SMTC | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
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