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OB Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top OB on January 09, 2024, netting in a 10.59% gain over 2 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
01/25/24
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+10.59% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
OB - Outbrain
Tickeron
Ticker: OB
Company: Outbrain
Gain from shortening: +10.59%
Confirmed: 01/09/24
Succeeded: 01/24/24
Total length: 19 days
On January 05, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Outbrain (OB, $4.25). 4 days later, on January 09, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On January 24, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $3.66 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

OB in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 01, 2024

OB moved below its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 24 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OB as a result. In of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OB turned negative on October 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 33 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for OB entered a downward trend on October 02, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 36 cases where OB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OB advanced for three days, in of 155 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.891) is normal, around the industry mean (11.001). P/E Ratio (5.495) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.688). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.247) is also within normal values, averaging (19.424).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
111 West 19th Street
Phone
+1 646 867-0149
Employees
1076
Web
https://www.outbrain.com