MENU
Go to the list of all blogs
Arthur C's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 04, 2026
CME vs SPGI Stock Comparison: Q4 Earnings Preview as Trading Volumes Meet Data Demand

CME vs SPGI Stock Comparison: Q4 Earnings Preview as Trading Volumes Meet Data Demand

Key Takeaways

  • CME Group (CME): Q4 2025 earnings due February 4, 2026; consensus expects adjusted EPS $2.75 and revenue ~$1.6B.

  • Trading Activity: CME’s full-year 2025 average daily volume (ADV) hit 28.1M contracts, up 6% YoY, signaling robust derivatives demand.

  • S&P Global (SPGI): Q4 2025 earnings due February 10, 2026; Q3 posted EPS $4.73 and 9% revenue growth, driven by Ratings, Indices, and Market Intelligence.

  • Business Models: CME thrives on transaction-based volume and clearing fees, while SPGI benefits from subscription-driven, recurring revenue.

  • Investor Focus: CME’s 2026 fee guidance, volume outlook, and market volatility resilience versus SPGI’s premium margins and subscription growth.

Why This Comparison Matters

CME and SPGI operate at different intersections of financial services:

  • CME captures volatility-driven profits from derivatives trading, clearing, and market data.

  • SPGI leverages high-margin analytics, ratings, and indices, delivering predictable, subscription-backed cash flows.

The upcoming earnings releases provide insight into volume-driven growth versus stable, margin-rich subscription revenue, aiding investors in positioning for rate volatility, trading demand, and data-driven financial services.

CME Earnings Focus

CME’s Q4 and full-year 2025 results (pre-market, February 4) are expected to show:

  • Adjusted EPS: $2.75 (+9.1% YoY from $2.52)

  • Revenue: $1.6–$1.64B (+~7%)

  • Key Drivers:

    • Average daily volume (ADV): Q4 record of 27.4M contracts

    • Clearing and transaction fees: ~$1.3B

    • Market data revenue growth and 2026 fee guidance

  • Volume Highlights: Metals +34% and energy contracts showing volatility-fueled growth; interest rate contracts also key.

  • Historical Context: CME has beaten EPS estimates in the last four quarters, though stock reactions are often muted, reflecting market anticipation.

SPGI Context and Earnings Relevance

SPGI’s Q4 earnings on February 10, 2026, follow a strong Q3 showing:

  • Revenue: ~$3.89B (+9%)

  • Adjusted EPS: $4.73 (vs $4.40 consensus)

  • Growth Drivers: Ratings and Market Intelligence; adjusted operating margins ~52%

  • Investor Takeaways: SPGI’s subscription-heavy model contrasts CME’s volatility-driven revenue, providing predictable cash flows and high margins.

Insights:

  • CME offers a volume-driven, high-beta play on derivatives markets, benefiting from volatility spikes.

  • SPGI provides premium valuation with steady recurring revenue, insulating it from short-term market swings.

  • Risks: CME faces competition and regulatory scrutiny; SPGI is sensitive to deal flow and economic cycles.

Tickeron AI Perspective

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI models lean toward CME pre-earnings, highlighting:

  • Record volumes and consistent EPS beats (4/4 quarters)

  • Undervalued P/E (~26x) relative to premium SPGI (~40x)

  • Short-term probabilistic edge in volatility-driven trading, assuming positive guidance

SPGI remains attractive for margin stability and subscription growth, but CME’s derivatives exposure and guidance leverage provide potential for near-term outperformance.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: CME, SPGI

CME's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CME turned positive on January 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CME's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CME as a result. In of 105 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CME moved above its 50-day moving average on January 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CME crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CME advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where CME Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where CME's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CME declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CME broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CME’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.792) is normal, around the industry mean (5.310). P/E Ratio (27.157) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.571). CME's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.658) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.786). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. CME's P/S Ratio (16.750) is slightly higher than the industry average of (9.068).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Financial Publishing/Services Industry is 26.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.25M to 122.37B. SPGI holds the highest valuation in this group at 122.37B. The lowest valued company is BTOG at 4.25M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. JPXGY experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while DTCX experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 91% and the average quarterly volume growth was 131%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -24 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
CME
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CME showed earnings on February 04, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of securities and commodity exchanges

Industry FinancialPublishingServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Investment Banks Or Brokers
Address
20 South Wacker Drive
Phone
+1 312 930-1000
Employees
3565
Web
https://www.cmegroup.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
As of August 09, 2025, the financial landscape continues to showcase the dynamic rivalry between Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), two titans representing distinct sectors of the technology and automotive industries.
#artificial_intelligence
As of August 9, 2025, the financial landscape presents an intriguing comparison between Meta Platforms Inc. (META) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), two titans in their respective industries.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron’s recent strides in deploy­ing AI Trading Agents built on shorter ML cycles have produced striking returns—+204% annualized on NVDA (15 min), +112% on AVGO (15 min), and +106% on KKR (5 min).
#artificial_intelligence#trading
In the rapidly evolving landscape of financial technology, artificial intelligence has emerged as a transformative force, reshaping how investors approach trading.
In the dynamic world of financial markets, artificial intelligence has emerged as a transformative force, enabling traders to navigate volatility with unprecedented precision. Tickeron, a pioneer in AI-driven trading solutions, has revolutionized this space through its innovative brokerage agents.
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven trading solutions, today announced exceptional results from its AI Trading Agent specialized in KKR stock.
#artificial_intelligence#trading
Tickeron, a pioneer in AI-driven financial tools, today announced exceptional trading results for its AI Trading Agent focused on NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA).
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial solutions, announces its AI Trading Agent’s remarkable 49.16% annualized return trading the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA). Leveraging advanced Financial Learning Models (FLMs), the agent delivers exceptional results for investors targeting high-growth sectors like aviation and defense.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron’s AI Trend Prediction Engine (TPE) stands at the forefront of this revolution, leveraging advanced Financial Learning Models (FLMs) to deliver precise predictions for stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds
#artificial_intelligence
The financial markets in 2025 continue to demonstrate resilience amid economic uncertainties, with artificial intelligence playing a pivotal role in identifying bullish opportunities.
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven trading solutions, today announced outstanding results from its AI Trading Double Agent, delivering a remarkable +318% annualized return on trades involving Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and its inverse ETF (AMDS) using a 15-minute timeframe.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial analysis, releases a comparative analysis of Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM). Both ETFs show robust year-to-date (YTD) gains of 11.646% for QQQ and 11.703% for QQQM, highlighting their strength in tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron releases a comparative analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Tesla Inc. (TSLA), highlighting key metrics and AI-driven insights for investors. With AAPL at $230.56 and TSLA at $329.31, both stocks are rated as a Buy based on long- and short-term analyses.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven trading solutions, releases a comparative analysis of SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG) and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), highlighting a tight race with YTD gains of 9.865% for SPLG and 9.870% for VOO.
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial solutions, announces its AI Trading Agent’s remarkable +198% annualized return on AAPU, a fund targeting 200% of Apple Inc.’s (AAPL) daily performance.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial solutions, proudly announces Day Trader, an algorithmic trading robot achieving a remarkable 91% annualized return. Engineered for intraday markets, Day Trader leverages pullback strategies and tactical hedging with QID and SOXS to deliver high returns while mitigating risk.
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron’s AI-powered trading agent, focusing on TNA, UPRO, and URTY, has achieved a remarkable +62% annualized return. This long-only, 60-minute interval strategy leverages 3x ETFs to capture aggressive upside in U.S. small- and large-cap equities, showcasing the power of Tickeron’s Financial Learning Models (FLMs).
Revolutionizing Trading with AI-Powered Patterns Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial technology, announces its Real-Time Patterns (RTP) tool, designed to empower traders by scanning thousands of stocks, ETFs, crypto, and forex in minutes. RTP identifies high-probability trading patterns, delivering actionable insights like breakout prices, target prices, and confidence levels
#artificial_intelligence
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven financial analytics, announces its AI Trend Prediction Engine (TPE), boasting an impressive 86% success rate in forecasting stock trends. This cutting-edge tool empowers traders with precise bullish, bearish, or sideways predictions for over 7,000 stocks, including GOOGL, GOOG, and META. Try it free for 14 days at tickeron.com.
#patterns#artificial_intelligence
In the dynamic world of financial markets, few rivalries capture investor attention like that between Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO).