NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a cornerstone of the technology sector, particularly in the realms of artificial intelligence (AI), gaming, and data center solutions. As of June 16, 2025, NVDA continues to capture investor attention due to its pivotal role in the AI revolution and its robust financial performance. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of NVDA’s recent market movements, key news, correlations with other stocks, inverse ETF trading strategies, and the role of AI-driven tools from Tickeron in optimizing trading decisions. Leveraging data, statistics, and insights from Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents, this analysis offers a detailed perspective for traders and investors navigating NVDA’s dynamic market landscape.
This year, the stock gained +9.59% with an average daily volume of 274 million shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of -43.43% for this period. NVDA showed earnings on May 28, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
NVDA’s Market Performance in 2025
NVDA has exhibited significant volatility in 2025, reflecting both its growth potential and market challenges. According to posts on X, NVDA experienced a 44% decline from a high of $153 to $86 over four months earlier in the year, yet analysts remain optimistic about its recovery. As of June 16, 2025, the stock is trading around $124, approaching a key resistance level, with some analysts projecting a potential rise to $170 or higher by year-end, driven by strong fundamentals and AI demand. NVIDIA’s revenue grew by 70% year-over-year, with free cash flow increasing by 125%, despite trading at its lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in six years, suggesting undervaluation. The stock’s average price target, based on 65 analysts, is $170, representing a 41% potential gain from its current price. Notably, 91% of analysts recommend a “Buy,” 9% suggest “Hold,” and none advocate “Sell”.
NVDA’s top holdings within major ETFs, such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), account for approximately 6% of the fund’s weight, underscoring its influence in the broader market. Its beta of 1.7 indicates higher volatility compared to the S&P 500, appealing to traders seeking growth but requiring careful risk management.
Key Market-Moving News for NVDA as of June 16, 2025
Recent news highlights NVDA’s critical role in the AI and semiconductor sectors, with several developments shaping its market trajectory. On February 26, 2025, Bank of America reiterated a “Buy” rating with a $190 price target ahead of NVDA’s fiscal Q4 2025 earnings call, expecting a modest beat in sales guidance despite challenges from the Blackwell product transition and China restrictions. Evercore ISI also maintained an “Outperform” rating with a $190 target, noting NVDA’s 12% recovery from its February 3 low, though it lagged the S&P 500 by 7% due to concerns over AI demand shifts toward competitors like DeepSeek and ASICs.
Additionally, posts on X indicate strong retail sentiment, with NVDA clearing a key resistance at $115 and approaching $124, fueled by anticipation for its May 28, 2025, earnings report. Analysts expect robust earnings driven by AI and gaming sector growth, with some predicting a run-up toward $170 by year-end. These developments highlight NVDA’s resilience and its position as a leading AI innovator, though traders must remain vigilant of macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures.
Comparison with a Highly Correlated Stock: TSM
NVDA shares a high correlation with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), a global leader in chip production, with a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past year. Both companies are integral to the semiconductor and AI ecosystems, with NVDA designing cutting-edge GPUs and TSM manufacturing them. In 2025, TSM has shown similar volatility, with Tickeron’s AI analysis noting its pairing with the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) in trading strategies, yielding up to 104% annualized returns through Tickeron’s Double Agent Trading Bots. While NVDA’s P/E ratio stands at 28, TSM’s is slightly higher at 30, reflecting strong investor confidence in its manufacturing dominance. However, NVDA’s broader exposure to AI software and gaming gives it a slight edge in growth potential, though TSM’s critical role in chip supply chains ensures its stability.
Trading NVDA with Inverse ETFs
For traders seeking to hedge NVDA’s volatility or capitalize on potential declines, inverse ETFs like the AXS 1.25X NVDA Bear Daily ETF (NVDS) offer a strategic tool. NVDS is designed to deliver 1.25 times the inverse daily performance of NVDA, making it fully anti-correlated with the stock. Tickeron’s Double Agent Trading Bot combines long NVDA positions with hedged NVDS trades, achieving a 75% success rate by leveraging AI-driven pattern recognition and real-time risk management. This strategy allows traders to profit from NVDA’s bullish trends while mitigating downside risk during market corrections. For instance, in a declining market, the bot posted a +9.77% quarterly gain while the S&P 500 dropped 9.28%, demonstrating the efficacy of pairing NVDA with NVDS for balanced exposure. Traders must exercise caution, as inverse ETFs are best suited for short-term strategies due to their compounding effects and potential for significant losses in prolonged bullish markets.
Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents: Revolutionizing NVDA Strategies
Tickeron, under the leadership of CEO Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D., has transformed trading through its Financial Learning Models (FLMs). These AI-driven models integrate machine learning with technical analysis to identify high-probability trade setups for stocks like NVDA. Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots, including the Double Agent and Single Agent, cater to traders of all levels. The NVDA Swing Trader Bot, for example, optimizes trades by factoring in AI and gaming sector trends, achieving up to 86.6% win rates in volatile markets. These bots provide real-time insights, seamless brokerage integration, and high-liquidity execution, reducing slippage and enhancing profitability. For NVDA, Tickeron’s tools have identified key patterns, such as bullish moving average crossovers and oversold conditions near the lower Bollinger Bands, enabling traders to capitalize on price movements with precision.
Robot factory Trading Results for last 12 months
NVDA
| AI Robot’s Name | P/L |
|---|---|
| NVDA / NVDS Trading Results AI Trading Double Agent,60min | 111.57% |
| Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy – Pro Version (TA&FA) | 17.01% |
Conclusion: Navigating NVDA’s Future with AI-Driven Insights
NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a powerhouse in the AI and semiconductor sectors, with strong fundamentals and significant growth potential as of June 16, 2025. Despite recent volatility, its 70% revenue growth, low P/E ratio, and analyst optimism signal a promising outlook. By leveraging Tickeron’s AI-powered tools, traders can navigate NVDA’s market dynamics with greater precision, utilizing strategies like the Double Agent Trading Bot to balance bullish and bearish positions with inverse ETFs like NVDS. As NVDA approaches its next earnings report, investors can rely on Tickeron’s Financial Learning Models to identify opportunities and manage risks, ensuring data-driven decisions in a rapidly evolving market.
Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely
NVDA’s Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 13, 2025. Tickeron’s A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 316 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 276 of the 316 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +1.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 308 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on June 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron’s A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron’s A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 – 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 – 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 – 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 – 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 – 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA’s P/B Ratio (41.322) is slightly higher than the industry average of (8.926). P/E Ratio (45.797) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.372). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.760) is also within normal values, averaging (2.278). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (23.641) is also within normal values, averaging (32.619).
NVDA is expected to report earnings to rise 3.75% to 99 cents per share on August 27
The last earnings report on May 28 showed earnings per share of 95 cents, beating the estimate of 93 cents. With 180.82M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.46T.
NVDA is expected to pay dividends on July 03, 2025
A dividend of $0.01 per share will be paid with a record date of July 03, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of June 11, 2025. The last dividend of $0.01 was paid on April 02. The ex-dividend date is usually set several business days before the record date. If a stock is purchased on its ex-dividend date or after, the next dividend payment will not be received. Instead, the dividends are repossessed by to the seller. If the stocks are purchased before the ex-dividend date, the buyer will receive the dividends.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).
Industry description
The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 55.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.46T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.46T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. NA experienced the highest price growth at 55%, while RNWEF experienced the biggest fall at -32%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 … +100)