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AU or NEM or OGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Newmont (NEM) vs. OceanaGold (OGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU), Newmont (NEM), and OceanaGold (OGC) are all established gold producers with operations spanning multiple continents, benefiting from elevated gold prices in recent market activity.
- NEM maintains the largest scale among the three, with a market capitalization exceeding $129 billion and diversified assets across the Americas, Australia, and Africa.
- AU has shown strong year-to-date returns in recent weeks, supported by operational expansions and cost management in its African and Australian portfolios.
- OGC offers a more focused intermediate producer profile, with key assets in New Zealand, the Philippines, and the United States, and recent emphasis on mine-life extensions.
- Relative performance across the trio reflects broader sector momentum, with differences in production scale, geographic exposure, and balance-sheet strength influencing individual trajectories.
- Market sentiment remains tied to gold price stability and macroeconomic factors, with each company exhibiting varying degrees of operational leverage and valuation sensitivity.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU), Newmont (NEM), and OceanaGold (OGC) represent a cross-section of the gold mining sector, ranging from a large-cap leader to mid-tier operators. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning amid current market conditions. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders seeking exposure to precious metals through equities may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification, risk-return trade-offs, and sector allocation decisions.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) operates gold mining projects across Africa, Australia, and the Americas. The company maintains a portfolio of approximately ten operations in eight countries. In recent weeks, AU shares have reflected positive sector tailwinds from higher gold prices, with year-to-date gains contributing to a market capitalization near $50 billion. Performance has been supported by ongoing operational efficiencies and exploration updates, though volatility remains consistent with mid-to-large gold producers. Sentiment has been influenced by production guidance and cost trends across its key jurisdictions.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont (NEM) is the world’s largest gold producer by market capitalization, with assets in the United States, Australia, Ghana, Peru, and other regions. The company also produces copper and other metals. Recent market activity has seen NEM deliver solid year-to-date returns around 24 percent, supported by its scale and diversified revenue streams. Share price movements have tracked gold price movements closely, with additional influence from quarterly production reports and capital allocation updates. The stock’s larger float and analyst coverage contribute to relatively stable trading patterns compared with smaller peers.
OGC Overview and Recent Performance
OceanaGold (OGC) is an intermediate gold and copper producer with operations in New Zealand, the Philippines, and the United States. The company focuses on maximizing free cash flow from its four primary mines. In recent weeks, OGC shares have participated in the broader gold equity rally, posting positive year-to-date performance while trading at a lower absolute price level near $28. Recent developments include permit applications for mine-life extensions at Macraes and exploration updates, which have helped sustain investor interest amid sector-wide strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ primarily in scale: NEM operates the broadest global footprint and highest production volume, while AU and OGC maintain more concentrated asset bases. Growth drivers for all three center on gold price leverage and operational execution, with NEM benefiting from copper co-production and AU and OGC emphasizing regional cost advantages. Recent momentum has favored larger names like NEM for liquidity, though AU has posted competitive returns in recent market activity. Risk factors include jurisdictional exposure—AU has significant African operations, OGC relies on New Zealand and Philippine assets—while NEM offers greater diversification. Valuation sensitivity to gold prices is high across the group, with NEM trading at a premium multiple reflective of its size and NEM’s lower beta relative to smaller peers. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector, with contrasts most evident in balance-sheet strength and dividend capacity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, production stability, and relative positioning within the gold sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic preference toward NEM. Its larger scale, diversified asset base, and established market leadership provide a more consistent profile amid fluctuating gold prices compared with the more regionally concentrated AU and OGC. This assessment reflects relative performance metrics and sector positioning rather than absolute forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
AU | NEM | OGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 69 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 76 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 35 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 38 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 44 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 42 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for NEM (76) in the Precious Metals industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for OGC (92) in the null industry. This means that AU's stock grew significantly faster than NEM’s and significantly faster than OGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (35) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as OGC (40) in the null industry. This means that AU's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and similarly to OGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OGC (27) in the null industry, and is in the same range as NEM (38) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AU's stock grew similarly to OGC’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (46) in the Precious Metals industry, and is in the same range as OGC (55) in the null industry. This means that NEM's stock grew similarly to AU’s and similarly to OGC’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AU (79) in the Precious Metals industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for OGC (87) in the null industry. This means that NEM's stock grew somewhat faster than AU’s and somewhat faster than OGC’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | NEM | OGC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 71% | 7 days ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 5 days ago 59% | 6 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 78% | 12 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and OGC’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- OGC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and OGC’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OGC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +1.84% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -0.20% , and OGC (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -1.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.90% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.
OGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGC has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGC jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.