AI hardware and blowout earnings led the winners. HPE closed at a record high on AI networking orders, CCL rallied on raised guidance and record 2027 bookings, and ON and VIAV extended chip and networking rallies.
Rising rates and disruption fears hit the losers. Mortgage REITs NLY and AGNC fell as bond yields climbed, FLUT lost ground to prediction markets, and TRU dropped on a proposed change to mortgage credit-report rules.
Tickeron AI's verdict is 10 BUYS and 10 SELLS. It buys winners with fresh analyst upgrades and losers that are oversold with high targets, and sells stocks that have run past their targets or face structural pressure.
Large caps under $100 give retail traders liquid exposure to these themes at share prices that are easy to size, but this week shows the dispersion is wide: from +21.92% for IBRX to -10.24% for $NLY.
Tickeron's AI Trading Bots rank each stock's sector, and its Financial Learning Models (FLM) read each stock's trend to separate pullbacks inside uptrends from breakdowns.

The Market Backdrop

The week favored growth over rate-sensitive stocks. September payrolls rose just 29,000 against 90,000 expected (Yahoo Finance), which eased fears of more Fed hikes and supported AI hardware and chip stocks. Long-term yields stayed near multiyear highs, though. That kept pressure on mortgage REITs, payment processors and housing-linked names, after a bond-market liquidation that had already hit rate-sensitive stocks (CNBC).

How to read the tables: large caps are US-listed stocks worth $10B or more, and every stock here closed under $100 on both September 25 and October 2. The weekly change runs from the September 25 close to the October 2 close, and YTD runs from the December 31, 2025 close. "Avg. target" is the average of the most recent analyst price targets, and "Upside" is the distance from the October 2 close to that average.

The 10 Biggest Winners

Ticker	Close	Week	YTD	Avg. target	Upside	Call
IBRX	$10.29	+21.92%	+419.7%	$13.50	+31.2%	SELL
VIAV	$47.10	+15.78%	+164.3%	$57.00	+21.0%	BUY
CCL	$25.76	+15.78%	-15.7%	$33.33	+29.4%	BUY
CGNX	$64.97	+10.76%	+80.6%	$71.67	+10.3%	SELL
HPE	$69.33	+10.15%	+188.6%	$79.67	+14.9%	BUY
VIRT	$58.79	+10.09%	+76.4%	$65.50	+11.4%	SELL
ON	$84.89	+9.96%	+56.8%	$108.00	+27.2%	BUY
TXG	$93.50	+9.09%	+473.3%	$85.00	-9.1%	SELL
IOT	$41.12	+8.32%	+16.0%	$50.50	+22.8%	BUY
SMMT	$16.76	+7.37%	-4.2%	$31.50	+87.9%	BUY

IBRX (ImmunityBio) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. Up 419.7% YTD, ImmunityBio surged on heavy volume with no new company announcement (Perplexity Finance), and its most recent analyst targets date back to May and June, so take profits.

VIAV (Viavi Solutions) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. An 11-day winning streak (Trefis) still leaves Viavi below its 52-week high of $60.43, and Rosenblatt's $70 Buy target anchors an average of $57.00 (+21.0%).

CCL (Carnival) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. Carnival raised its annual profit forecast and pointed to record 2027 bookings (Reuters), yet it is still down 15.7% YTD, with +29.4% to its $33.33 average target.

CGNX (Cognex) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. Cognex is up 80.6% YTD, and valuation now looks stretched (Yahoo Finance), with only +10.3% to its $71.67 average target and two of three recent analysts at Neutral.

HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. HPE closed at a record high on growing networking orders and a $1.2 billion AMD Helios order (Yahoo Finance), and Daiwa upgraded it while Citigroup raised its target to $92.

VIRT (Virtu Financial) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. The market maker's bounce leaves only +11.4% to its $65.50 average target, and JP Morgan's Neutral rating and stale July targets offer little fresh support.

ON (ON Semiconductor) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. ON jumped on Synaptics deal news (Yahoo Finance) and confirmed a bullish chart breakout (The Cryptonomist), and Wells Fargo lifted its target to $100 the same day, putting the average at $108.00 (+27.2%).

TXG (10x Genomics) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. Up 473.3% YTD, 10x Genomics now trades above its $85.00 average target (-9.1%), and both recent analysts rate it only Market Perform or Neutral.

IOT (Samsara) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. Bullish analyst commentary lifted Samsara (MarketBeat), and BNP Paribas's $55 Outperform target supports an average of $50.50 (+22.8%) for the connected-operations software leader.

SMMT (Summit Therapeutics) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. AstraZeneca's $2 billion strategic investment (Yahoo Finance) validates Summit's cancer drug, and Citigroup's $43 target helps put the average at $31.50 (+87.9%).

The 10 Biggest Losers

Ticker	Close	Week	YTD	Avg. target	Upside	Call
NLY	$18.50	-10.24%	-17.3%	$24.00	+29.7%	SELL
FLUT	$74.81	-10.12%	-65.2%	$114.50	+53.1%	SELL
TEM	$76.63	-9.86%	+29.8%	$79.00	+3.1%	BUY
GPN	$78.38	-9.38%	+1.3%	$106.00	+35.2%	BUY
CRCL	$81.25	-8.71%	+2.5%	$78.50	-3.4%	SELL
IP	$31.97	-8.71%	-18.8%	$51.33	+60.6%	BUY
AGNC	$8.79	-8.63%	-18.0%	$11.00	+25.1%	SELL
FIS	$32.44	-8.39%	-51.2%	$42.50	+31.0%	SELL
TRU	$63.44	-8.28%	-26.0%	$69.00	+8.8%	SELL
CDE	$17.66	-8.12%	-1.0%	$26.50	+50.1%	BUY

NLY (Annaly Capital) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. The mortgage REIT is down 18.5% in a month and near its 52-week low of $18.37 as long-term yields stay high, and its analyst targets date back to July, before the bond selloff.

FLUT (Flutter Entertainment) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. FanDuel's parent is down 65.2% YTD and hit a multiyear low as prediction-market rival Kalshi eyes a $40B valuation (Yahoo Finance), and Rothschild downgraded it to Neutral.

TEM (Tempus AI) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. The pullback came on light volume (MarketBeat) inside an uptrend of +23.7% over one month, and Guggenheim just raised its target from $65 to $92.

GPN (Global Payments) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. Global Payments is roughly flat YTD (+1.3%) after the weekly drop, 37 analysts rate it bullish versus 4 bearish, and RBC's $106.00 target implies +35.2%.

CRCL (Circle Internet) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. The USDC issuer already trades above its $78.50 average target (-3.4%), and analysts are split between TD Cowen's $92 Buy and Wolfe Research's $65 Underperform.

IP (International Paper) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. International Paper is near its 12-month low (Perplexity Finance), but Citigroup, Argus and JP Morgan all rate it Buy, with an average target of $51.33 (+60.6%).

AGNC (AGNC Investment) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. AGNC fell to $8.79 on unusually heavy volume (MarketBeat) and sits at its 52-week low of $8.77, and its high yield won't offset book-value losses while rates stay elevated.

FIS (Fidelity National Information Services) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. FIS hit a new 52-week low after Deutsche Bank cut its target (MarketBeat), it is down 51.2% YTD, and both recent analysts rate it Hold.

TRU (TransUnion) — SELL. 1-month forecast: DOWN. The FHFA plans to ease Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's credit-report requirements (Investing.com), and Goldman Sachs and Barclays both cut their targets this week.

CDE (Coeur Mining) — BUY. 1-month forecast: UP. The precious-metals miner's -8.12% dip leaves it roughly flat YTD (-1.0%), and Scotiabank's $26.50 Sector Outperform target implies +50.1%.

Scoreboard

Ticker	Week	Call	1-month forecast
IBRX	+21.92%	SELL	DOWN
VIAV	+15.78%	BUY	UP
CCL	+15.78%	BUY	UP
CGNX	+10.76%	SELL	DOWN
HPE	+10.15%	BUY	UP
VIRT	+10.09%	SELL	DOWN
ON	+9.96%	BUY	UP
TXG	+9.09%	SELL	DOWN
IOT	+8.32%	BUY	UP
SMMT	+7.37%	BUY	UP
NLY	-10.24%	SELL	DOWN
FLUT	-10.12%	SELL	DOWN
TEM	-9.86%	BUY	UP
GPN	-9.38%	BUY	UP
CRCL	-8.71%	SELL	DOWN
IP	-8.71%	BUY	UP
AGNC	-8.63%	SELL	DOWN
FIS	-8.39%	SELL	DOWN
TRU	-8.28%	SELL	DOWN
CDE	-8.12%	BUY	UP

How Tickeron's AI Trading Bots and FLM Made These Calls

Tickeron's AI Trading Bots start with the sector. This week money flowed into AI hardware (HPE, ON, Viavi), travel (Carnival) and biotech with big-pharma backing (Summit). It flowed out of mortgage REITs, payment processors, credit bureaus and online betting. A large cap in a leading sector with room to its targets gets a BUY. A stock in a sector under rate or regulatory pressure needs a clear catalyst to avoid a SELL.

Tickeron's Financial Learning Models (FLM) then read each stock's trend. FLM separates pullbacks inside uptrends from fresh breakdowns. That's why TEM and CDE get BUYS after their drops, while $FIS, AGNC and FLUT get SELLS: they keep setting new lows.

Large caps under $100 are liquid and easy to size, which makes them a natural core for retail portfolios. Use the bots to pick the sectors and FLM to time the entries.

For informational purposes only; not investment advice. Prices as of the October 2, 2026 close. Tickeron AI forecasts are model-based estimates and do not guarantee future results.

Tickeron AI Perspective

Disclaimers and Limitations

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.

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Record Highs and 52-Week Lows: Tickeron AI's Verdict on the Week's 20 Biggest Large-Cap Movers Under $100

Week of September 28 to October 2, 2026

Key Takeaways

AI hardware and blowout earnings led the winners. HPE closed at a record high on AI networking orders, CCL rallied on raised guidance and record 2027 bookings, and ON and VIAV extended chip and networking rallies.
Rising rates and disruption fears hit the losers. Mortgage REITs NLY and AGNC fell as bond yields climbed, FLUT lost ground to prediction markets, and TRU dropped on a proposed change to mortgage credit-report rules.
Tickeron AI's verdict is 10 BUYS and 10 SELLS. It buys winners with fresh analyst upgrades and losers that are oversold with high targets, and sells stocks that have run past their targets or face structural pressure.
Large caps under $100 give retail traders liquid exposure to these themes at share prices that are easy to size, but this week shows the dispersion is wide: from +21.92% for IBRX to -10.24% for $NLY.
Tickeron's AI Trading Bots rank each stock's sector, and its Financial Learning Models (FLM) read each stock's trend to separate pullbacks inside uptrends from breakdowns.