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DFH or SKY or TOL
DFH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for DFH entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 213 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 179 of the 213 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DFH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
Following a +8.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DFH advanced for three days, in 250 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
DFH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.688) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). P/E Ratio (7.716) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.280) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. DFH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DFH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
SKY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026
SKY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SKY as a result. In 69 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SKY turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
The 10-day moving average for SKY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SKY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for SKY entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SKY advanced for three days, in 214 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
SKY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SKY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.997) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). P/E Ratio (25.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.777) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SKY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
TOL's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for TOL entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 162 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 112 of the 162 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In 53 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The 50-day moving average for TOL moved below the 200-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOL just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where TOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in 225 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
TOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.474) is normal, around the industry mean (1.963). P/E Ratio (11.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.880) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.184) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
SKY | TOL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKY's Valuation (63) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (65). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (78). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
TOL's SMR Rating (58) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (64). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
SKY's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (59). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
SKY's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (32). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.
| DFH | SKY | TOL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 80% | 13 days ago 74% | 13 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DFH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SKY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TOL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DFH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SKY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TOL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DFH’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TOL’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DFH’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 2 bearish.
- SKY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TOL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DFH (@Homebuilding) experienced а -5.34% price change this week, while SKY (@Homebuilding) price change was -8.71% , and TOL (@Homebuilding) price fluctuated -3.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -5.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
DFH is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
SKY is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
TOL is expected to report earnings on Dec 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-5.15% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
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